Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 Prediction – 5/4/2025

On Sunday, May 4, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Houston Rockets in Game 7 of their first-round playoff series in the Western Conference at Toyota Center, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. This matchup pits the 52-37 Warriors against the 55-33 Rockets, who are slight favorites with a spread of Rockets -2.5 and a moneyline of -140. Golden State is sitting at +120 on the moneyline, reflecting an implied win probability of 44%, while Houston boasts a 56% chance of victory according to the odds.

The Warriors have been playing solid basketball, winning 33 of their last 50 games. However, they face a significant challenge on the road, having traveled cross-country for this game. This extended trip could impact their performance negatively, especially against a Rockets team that has been strong at home, winning 29 of their last 40 home games.

In their most recent encounter, the Rockets managed to upset the Warriors, winning 115-107 despite entering that game as 5.5-point underdogs. This previous victory may bolster Houston's confidence as they look to replicate their success.

Betting enthusiasts might want to keep an eye on Moses Moody's points as a player prop market to watch, as it has garnered attention from bettors. Additionally, sharp money appears to be siding with the Under on Moody's total points, currently set at 8.5, which many believe is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how the Warriors manage their travel fatigue and whether the Rockets can maintain their strong home performance in what promises to be an exciting playoff atmosphere.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 105.03, Houston Rockets 108.87

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 Win Probabilities

Check out all our free picks on every NBA game daily in our NBA betting section.