Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025

Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 1 Pick – 4/20/2025

On April 20, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Houston Rockets in Game 1 of their Western Conference playoff series at 9:30 PM ET in the Toyota Center. This matchup features two teams with solid recent performances, though they come into the game from different trajectories.

The Warriors, with a record of 49-34, are coming off a victory against the Memphis Grizzlies, winning 121-116 five days prior. This extra time off could be beneficial for Golden State, allowing players to rest and recover. However, they face the challenge of a long cross-country trip, which could impact their performance.

On the other hand, the Rockets boast a 52-30 record but are looking to bounce back after a 126-111 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. Despite this setback, Houston has been strong at home, winning 29 of their last 40 games in front of their fans. This home-court advantage is reflected in the betting lines, where the Rockets are currently favored by 1 point, with a moneyline of -120, giving them an implied win probability of 52%. The Warriors, at +100 on the moneyline, have an implied win probability of 48%.

Sharp bettors have shown interest in the player prop market, particularly in Jalen Green's Points and Assists, which has seen a shift from an opening total of 26.5 down to 23.5. This suggests that bettors are leaning towards the Under in this matchup.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 110.15, Houston Rockets 122.72

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors48%14%
Rockets52%86%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-108
62% GS
-1.0/-112
38% HOU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+100
63% GS
-120
37% HOU

Total Pick Consensus

212.5/-110
11% UN
212.5/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
40.5
90.4
FGA
88.3
.451
FG%
.459
15.4
3Pt-FG
12.3
42.4
3Pt-FGA
34.5
.364
3Pt%
.357
25.3
2Pt-FG
28.2
48.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.528
2Pt%
.524
16.9
FT
16.4
22.1
FTA
21.7
.764
FT%
.759
12.5
ORB
10.6
32.8
DRB
31.6
45.4
TRB
42.1
29.1
AST
23.5
9.4
STL
7.9
4.8
BLK
5.7
14.0
TOV
14.3
19.2
PF
19.2
113.8
PTS
109.8

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
82
Games
82
40.4
FG
42.5
86.9
FGA
93.4
.465
FG%
.455
13.2
3Pt-FG
12.7
36.3
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.363
3Pt%
.353
27.3
2Pt-FG
29.8
50.6
2Pt-FGA
57.6
.539
2Pt%
.518
16.4
FT
16.7
21.4
FTA
22.6
.769
FT%
.738
10.6
ORB
14.6
33.5
DRB
33.8
44.1
TRB
48.5
25.9
AST
23.3
7.6
STL
8.4
5.4
BLK
5.0
15.7
TOV
13.9
18.6
PF
19.0
110.5
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
HOU
.536
eFG%
.528
12.3
TOV%
12.8
27.3
RB%
76.2
.187
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
HOU
.541
eFG%
.523
14.1
TOV%
11.8
75.6
RB%
31.7
.189
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
40.9
91.4
FGA
89.1
.451
FG%
.459
15.6
3Pt-FG
12.4
42.8
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.364
3Pt%
.357
25.6
2Pt-FG
28.4
48.5
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.528
2Pt%
.524
17.0
FT
16.6
22.3
FTA
21.9
.764
FT%
.759
12.7
ORB
10.7
33.2
DRB
31.9
45.9
TRB
42.5
29.4
AST
23.7
9.5
STL
8.0
4.8
BLK
5.7
14.2
TOV
14.5
19.4
PF
19.4
115.0
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
42.9
87.8
FGA
94.2
.465
FG%
.455
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.8
36.7
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.363
3Pt%
.353
27.6
2Pt-FG
30.1
51.2
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.539
2Pt%
.518
16.6
FT
16.8
21.6
FTA
22.8
.769
FT%
.738
10.7
ORB
14.8
33.8
DRB
34.1
44.5
TRB
48.9
26.1
AST
23.6
7.7
STL
8.5
5.4
BLK
5.1
15.9
TOV
14.0
18.8
PF
19.2
111.7
PTS
115.3

GS
Analytics
HOU
49
Pythag Wins
52
33
Pythag Losses
30
3.30
Margin Of Victory
4.51
115.0
O Rtg
115.3
111.7
D Rtg
110.8
98.7
Pace
98.6
.244
FTr
.242
.469
3PAr
.384
.568
TS%
.553

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS HOU
GS HOU
Consensus
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-102)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
GS HOU
GS HOU
Consensus
-109
-112
-102
-117
-112
-108
+100
-120
-116
-102
+100
-118
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.0 (-111)
213.0 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
214.5 (-112)
214.5 (-109)
213.0 (-112)
213.0 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.5 (-115)
212.5 (-105)

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