Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Mar 19, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/19/2025


On March 19, 2025, the Detroit Pistons (38-31) will face off against the Miami Heat (29-39) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Scheduled for a 7:30 PM ET tip-off, this matchup features a Pistons squad that has been performing well lately, having secured 26 wins in their last 40 games. In contrast, the Heat are struggling, currently on an 8-game losing streak following a 116-95 defeat to the New York Knicks.

Despite being on the road, the Pistons are favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -205, suggesting an implied win probability of 65%. The Heat, sitting at +180 on the moneyline, have a 35% implied probability of pulling off the upset.

Recent performances highlight the disparity between these two teams. Detroit's last outing saw them dismantle the New Orleans Pelicans with a resounding 127-81 victory, showcasing their offensive prowess. Conversely, Miami's recent struggles have raised questions about their ability to compete effectively.

For those considering player prop bets, Cade Cunningham's Points market has garnered significant attention. Bettors may want to keep an eye on Cunningham, as he has been a focal point in the Pistons' offensive strategy. Additionally, sharp money appears to be leaning towards the Under in this game, with the total set at Under 24.5 Points (-105), indicating a belief that this figure could be mispriced.


Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Detroit Pistons 113.21 vs Miami Heat 105.46


Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Pistons65%72%
Heat35%28%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-105
77% DET
+5.5/-115
23% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-205
79% DET
+170
21% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.0/-110
15% UN
218.0/-110
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
69
Games
68
42.6
FG
41.4
89.5
FGA
89.0
.476
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.8
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.360
3Pt%
.359
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.0
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.552
2Pt%
.547
17.0
FT
14.1
21.8
FTA
17.9
.778
FT%
.786
11.3
ORB
10.8
34.1
DRB
34.3
45.3
TRB
45.1
26.4
AST
26.9
8.2
STL
7.5
5.2
BLK
4.7
15.4
TOV
13.5
20.6
PF
17.2
115.0
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
69
Games
68
40.2
FG
39.6
87.6
FGA
86.5
.459
FG%
.457
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.4
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.365
3Pt%
.358
26.6
2Pt-FG
25.9
50.2
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.529
2Pt%
.535
18.7
FT
16.3
24.1
FTA
20.7
.775
FT%
.791
10.2
ORB
9.5
31.8
DRB
33.8
42.0
TRB
43.3
24.8
AST
26.2
9.2
STL
7.9
4.9
BLK
3.8
15.2
TOV
13.8
18.6
PF
15.7
112.7
PTS
109.1

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
MIA
.548
eFG%
.543
13.5
TOV%
12.3
26.2
RB%
75.8
.189
FT/FGA
.158

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
MIA
.537
eFG%
.536
13.4
TOV%
12.6
77.0
RB%
21.7
.213
FT/FGA
.189

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
69
Games
68
42.4
FG
42.5
88.9
FGA
91.2
.476
FG%
.466
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.2
35.3
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.360
3Pt%
.359
29.7
2Pt-FG
28.3
53.7
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.552
2Pt%
.547
16.8
FT
14.5
21.7
FTA
18.4
.778
FT%
.786
11.2
ORB
11.1
33.8
DRB
35.2
45.0
TRB
46.2
26.3
AST
27.5
8.1
STL
7.7
5.2
BLK
4.8
15.3
TOV
13.9
20.4
PF
17.7
114.2
PTS
113.6

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
69
Games
68
39.9
FG
40.6
87.0
FGA
88.7
.459
FG%
.457
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
37.2
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.365
3Pt%
.358
26.4
2Pt-FG
26.6
49.9
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.529
2Pt%
.535
18.5
FT
16.8
23.9
FTA
21.2
.775
FT%
.791
10.1
ORB
9.7
31.6
DRB
34.6
41.7
TRB
44.4
24.6
AST
26.9
9.2
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
3.9
15.1
TOV
14.1
18.5
PF
16.1
112.0
PTS
111.8

DET
Analytics
MIA
39
Pythag Wins
30
30
Pythag Losses
38
2.30
Margin Of Victory
-1.68
114.2
O Rtg
111.8
112.0
D Rtg
113.6
100.1
Pace
96.2
.243
FTr
.239
.396
3PAr
.440
.580
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET MIA
DET MIA
Consensus
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-111)
-5.0 (-105)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DET MIA
DET MIA
Consensus
-210
+175
-200
+169
-205
+170
-205
+170
-215
+180
-205
+172
-205
+170
-195
+163
-205
+170
-210
+175
-210
+170
-210
+170
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
218.0 (-111)
218.0 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
217.5 (-109)
217.5 (-112)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-115)
217.5 (-105)

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