Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Dec 28, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Detroit Pistons 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231.5
Moneyline:Detroit Pistons 185, Denver Nuggets -215


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Detroit Pistons - 34%Detroit Pistons - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 66%Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons (14-17) face off against the Denver Nuggets (16-13) in a Saturday night showdown at Ball Arena, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET. This matchup presents some intriguing betting angles, particularly given the Nuggets' recent back-to-back situation after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 149-135 in their last outing. The quick turnaround could pose a challenge for Denver, which may struggle with fatigue against a Pistons team that has won three consecutive games, including a stunning upset against the Sacramento Kings, whom they defeated 114-113 while entering as 5.0-point underdogs.

As the favorite at home, the Nuggets are currently favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -215, implying a 66% chance of victory. In contrast, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +185, have an implied win probability of 34%. While Denver has performed well at home recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games at Ball Arena, the lack of rest could be a significant factor.

For those interested in player props, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Assists market stands out as the most popular betting option, though sharp bettors seem to favor the Under. The prop total opened at Under 38.5 Points and Assists (-110) but has since moved to 36.5 (-120), suggesting a shift in confidence regarding Jokic's production.


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Pistons 117.17 vs Denver Nuggets 120.36

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-112
32% DET
-6.5/-108
68% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+201
9% DET
-242
91% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

235.0/-118
17% UN
235.0/-102
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
40
Games
39
41.7
FG
42.9
88.9
FGA
92.9
.469
FG%
.462
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.1
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.369
3Pt%
.350
28.0
2Pt-FG
29.3
51.8
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.541
2Pt%
.544
15.3
FT
16.1
19.9
FTA
20.9
.770
FT%
.769
11.0
ORB
11.5
33.6
DRB
31.6
44.6
TRB
43.1
25.8
AST
29.3
7.4
STL
9.0
5.1
BLK
5.6
15.8
TOV
14.2
20.3
PF
20.0
112.4
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
40
Games
39
41.1
FG
45.1
87.6
FGA
90.3
.469
FG%
.499
14.2
3Pt-FG
11.8
37.3
3Pt-FGA
31.1
.379
3Pt%
.380
26.9
2Pt-FG
33.3
50.3
2Pt-FGA
59.2
.535
2Pt%
.562
17.1
FT
18.4
22.0
FTA
24.2
.776
FT%
.761
10.1
ORB
11.0
32.1
DRB
34.6
42.1
TRB
45.7
25.6
AST
31.2
9.5
STL
8.7
4.8
BLK
4.8
14.8
TOV
14.3
17.8
PF
18.2
113.3
PTS
120.3

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.546
eFG%
.536
13.9
TOV%
12.2
25.6
RB%
75.1
.172
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.550
eFG%
.564
13.2
TOV%
12.4
77.0
RB%
25.9
.195
FT/FGA
.204

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
40
Games
39
41.8
FG
42.1
89.2
FGA
91.2
.469
FG%
.462
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.4
37.2
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.369
3Pt%
.350
28.1
2Pt-FG
28.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.541
2Pt%
.544
15.3
FT
15.8
19.9
FTA
20.6
.770
FT%
.769
11.1
ORB
11.3
33.7
DRB
31.0
44.7
TRB
42.3
25.9
AST
28.8
7.4
STL
8.8
5.1
BLK
5.5
15.9
TOV
13.9
20.4
PF
19.6
112.7
PTS
113.5

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
40
Games
39
41.2
FG
44.2
87.8
FGA
88.5
.469
FG%
.499
14.2
3Pt-FG
11.6
37.4
3Pt-FGA
30.5
.379
3Pt%
.380
27.0
2Pt-FG
32.6
50.4
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.535
2Pt%
.562
17.1
FT
18.1
22.1
FTA
23.7
.776
FT%
.761
10.1
ORB
10.8
32.2
DRB
34.0
42.3
TRB
44.8
25.6
AST
30.6
9.5
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
4.7
14.8
TOV
14.0
17.9
PF
17.9
113.7
PTS
118.0

DET
Analytics
DEN
19
Pythag Wins
25
21
Pythag Losses
14
-0.95
Margin Of Victory
4.62
112.7
O Rtg
118.0
113.7
D Rtg
113.5
98.7
Pace
100.9
.224
FTr
.268
.417
3PAr
.344
.575
TS%
.596

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+5.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-111)
-6.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-114)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-109)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+194
-240
+201
-242
+190
-230
+215
-265
+194
-235
+205
-250
+180
-220
+185
-225
+185
-225
+210
-260
+190
-250
+200
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-111)
228.5 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-114)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.0 (-102)
235.0 (-118)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-108)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-113)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)