Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 Pick – 5/13/2025

With the Western Conference Semifinals tied at 2-2, Game 5 between the Denver Nuggets and the Oklahoma City Thunder is set to be a pivotal contest. The Thunder, returning to their home court, aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage, while the Nuggets seek to regain momentum after a tough loss in Game 4.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 Preview

Game 4 was a defensive battle, with the Thunder edging out the Nuggets 92-87. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 25 points, demonstrating his ability to perform under pressure. The Thunder's defense was instrumental in limiting the Nuggets' scoring opportunities, particularly in the fourth quarter.

Oklahoma City's bench deserves a ton of credit for the team's success in Game 4 as well. OKC got 35 points from their bench, while the Nuggets got just eight bench points and saw Russell Westbrook shoot 2/12 from the field as a reserve. If the battle of the bench is that lopsided again tonight, the Thunder could win convincingly.

The Nuggets, despite a strong performance from Nikola Jokić, struggled to find their rhythm offensively. Jokić, who has been a consistent force throughout the series, will need support from teammates like Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon to overcome the Thunder's defensive schemes.

Both teams have shown resilience and adaptability, making Game 5 a critical juncture in the series. The Thunder's youthful energy and home-court advantage will be tested against the Nuggets' experience and determination.

Betting Insights

• Spread: Thunder -10.5
• Total Points (O/U): 221.5
• Moneyline: Thunder -500, Nuggets +375

The Thunder are significant favorites heading into Game 5, reflecting their strong home performance and the momentum from their recent win. The total points line suggests expectations of a moderately high-scoring game, considering both teams' offensive capabilities.

Player Props:

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 31.5 Points
• Nikola Jokić: Over 14.5 Rebounds

Gilgeous-Alexander has been a consistent scorer for the Thunder, and with the series tied, he is likely to take on a significant offensive role tonight. Jokić's rebounding prowess remains a key factor for the Nuggets, especially in limiting the Thunder's second-chance opportunities.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 Prediction

Game 5 is poised to be a tightly contested battle. The Thunder's home-court advantage and recent defensive success give them a slight edge. However, the Nuggets' experience and the leadership of Jokić cannot be underestimated.

Expect the Thunder to leverage their defensive intensity and home support to secure a narrow victory. The Nuggets will likely keep the game close, making the +10.5 spread an attractive option for bettors.

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 110.46, Oklahoma City Thunder 117.89

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

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