Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 17, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/17/2025

  • Date: January 17, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets 1.5 (-110), Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under:226
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets 100, Miami Heat -120


Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 48%Denver Nuggets - 47%
Miami Heat - 52%Miami Heat - 53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (24-16) face off against the Miami Heat (20-19) on Friday night at 8:00 PM ET, with the game taking place at the Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup comes with significant implications for both teams, particularly as Denver has been on a strong run, winning four consecutive road games. However, the Nuggets will be at a disadvantage, having traveled cross-country and across two time zones, which could impact their performance.

Miami enters this game as a slight favorite, with the current spread set at Heat -2.0. The moneyline reflects this sentiment, showing the Heat at -120 while the Nuggets sit at +100. According to the odds, the Nuggets hold an implied win probability of 48%, while the Heat are slightly favored at 52%.

Both teams are looking to bounce back after recent losses, with the Nuggets falling to the Houston Rockets 128-108 and the Heat losing to the Los Angeles Lakers 117-108 in their last outings. Miami has shown promise at home, winning 7 of their last 10 games at the Kaseya Center, while Denver's recent road success adds an intriguing dynamic to this contest.

As the Nuggets look to overcome the challenges of a long road trip, they will need to rely on their recent form to secure a victory against a Heat team that has been solid at home. This matchup promises to be a competitive clash, with both teams eager to improve their standings as the season progresses.


Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 115.73 vs Miami Heat 116.91

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-108
86% DEN
+3.5/-112
14% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-151
47% DEN
+129
53% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-110
20% UN
228.5/-110
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
52
Games
49
45.5
FG
41.4
89.8
FGA
89.7
.507
FG%
.461
11.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
31.2
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.378
3Pt%
.360
33.7
2Pt-FG
27.6
58.6
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.576
2Pt%
.537
18.1
FT
14.3
23.4
FTA
18.3
.772
FT%
.784
11.2
ORB
11.1
34.5
DRB
34.4
45.7
TRB
45.6
31.2
AST
27.2
8.3
STL
7.4
4.8
BLK
5.0
14.3
TOV
13.7
17.5
PF
17.7
120.8
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
52
Games
49
43.3
FG
39.8
93.3
FGA
87.0
.464
FG%
.458
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.359
3Pt%
.367
29.5
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.9
2Pt-FGA
48.1
.538
2Pt%
.532
15.6
FT
17.0
20.1
FTA
21.6
.777
FT%
.791
11.7
ORB
9.5
30.7
DRB
34.5
42.4
TRB
44.0
29.5
AST
26.5
8.9
STL
8.0
5.3
BLK
3.8
13.5
TOV
13.8
19.1
PF
15.8
115.9
PTS
111.0

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.573
eFG%
.538
12.5
TOV%
12.3
26.7
RB%
75.7
.201
FT/FGA
.160

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.538
eFG%
.540
11.7
TOV%
12.5
74.7
RB%
21.7
.167
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
52
Games
49
45.0
FG
42.1
88.8
FGA
91.2
.507
FG%
.461
11.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
30.8
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.378
3Pt%
.360
33.4
2Pt-FG
28.1
58.0
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.576
2Pt%
.537
17.9
FT
14.6
23.2
FTA
18.6
.772
FT%
.784
11.1
ORB
11.3
34.1
DRB
35.0
45.2
TRB
46.3
30.9
AST
27.7
8.3
STL
7.6
4.8
BLK
5.0
14.1
TOV
13.9
17.3
PF
18.0
119.6
PTS
112.7

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
52
Games
49
42.9
FG
40.5
92.3
FGA
88.5
.464
FG%
.458
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.0
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.359
3Pt%
.367
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.0
54.3
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.538
2Pt%
.532
15.4
FT
17.3
19.9
FTA
21.9
.777
FT%
.791
11.6
ORB
9.7
30.4
DRB
35.1
41.9
TRB
44.8
29.2
AST
27.0
8.8
STL
8.2
5.2
BLK
3.9
13.4
TOV
14.1
18.9
PF
16.1
114.8
PTS
112.9

DEN
Analytics
MIA
33
Pythag Wins
25
19
Pythag Losses
24
4.90
Margin Of Victory
0.14
119.6
O Rtg
112.9
114.8
D Rtg
112.7
100.2
Pace
96.9
.261
FTr
.248
.347
3PAr
.447
.604
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIA
DEN MIA
Consensus
+3.0 (-111)
-3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-111)
+3.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
+3.0 (-113)
-3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-113)
+3.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIA
DEN MIA
Consensus
+120
-145
-151
+129
+120
-142
-155
+130
+138
-164
-168
+142
+120
-143
-143
+123
+118
-140
-165
+140
+120
-145
-155
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-111)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
223.0 (-113)
223.0 (-108)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-112)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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