Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 17, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/17/2025

  • Date: January 17, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets 1.5 (-110), Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under:226
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets 100, Miami Heat -120


Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 48%Denver Nuggets - 47%
Miami Heat - 52%Miami Heat - 53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (24-16) face off against the Miami Heat (20-19) on Friday night at 8:00 PM ET, with the game taking place at the Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup comes with significant implications for both teams, particularly as Denver has been on a strong run, winning four consecutive road games. However, the Nuggets will be at a disadvantage, having traveled cross-country and across two time zones, which could impact their performance.

Miami enters this game as a slight favorite, with the current spread set at Heat -2.0. The moneyline reflects this sentiment, showing the Heat at -120 while the Nuggets sit at +100. According to the odds, the Nuggets hold an implied win probability of 48%, while the Heat are slightly favored at 52%.

Both teams are looking to bounce back after recent losses, with the Nuggets falling to the Houston Rockets 128-108 and the Heat losing to the Los Angeles Lakers 117-108 in their last outings. Miami has shown promise at home, winning 7 of their last 10 games at the Kaseya Center, while Denver's recent road success adds an intriguing dynamic to this contest.

As the Nuggets look to overcome the challenges of a long road trip, they will need to rely on their recent form to secure a victory against a Heat team that has been solid at home. This matchup promises to be a competitive clash, with both teams eager to improve their standings as the season progresses.


Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 115.73 vs Miami Heat 116.91

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-108
86% DEN
+3.5/-112
14% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-151
47% DEN
+129
53% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-110
20% UN
228.5/-110
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
45.4
FG
41.3
89.8
FGA
88.6
.506
FG%
.466
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.6
31.9
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.376
3Pt%
.360
33.4
2Pt-FG
27.6
57.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.578
2Pt%
.545
17.9
FT
13.9
23.3
FTA
17.9
.770
FT%
.776
11.2
ORB
10.7
34.5
DRB
33.9
45.7
TRB
44.7
31.0
AST
26.5
8.0
STL
7.5
4.9
BLK
4.7
14.3
TOV
13.8
17.6
PF
17.0
120.8
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
40.5
93.0
FGA
87.0
.466
FG%
.465
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.7
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.8
54.4
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.538
2Pt%
.538
16.1
FT
16.0
20.7
FTA
20.2
.777
FT%
.791
11.7
ORB
9.7
30.7
DRB
33.7
42.5
TRB
43.4
29.0
AST
26.4
8.7
STL
8.1
5.1
BLK
3.8
13.0
TOV
13.6
19.0
PF
15.5
116.9
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.573
eFG%
.543
12.5
TOV%
12.5
26.7
RB%
75.8
.200
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.542
eFG%
.544
11.3
TOV%
12.4
74.6
RB%
22.3
.173
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
45.1
FG
42.3
89.1
FGA
90.9
.506
FG%
.466
11.9
3Pt-FG
14.0
31.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.376
3Pt%
.360
33.2
2Pt-FG
28.3
57.4
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.578
2Pt%
.545
17.8
FT
14.3
23.1
FTA
18.4
.770
FT%
.776
11.1
ORB
11.0
34.3
DRB
34.8
45.4
TRB
45.8
30.8
AST
27.2
7.9
STL
7.7
4.9
BLK
4.8
14.2
TOV
14.2
17.5
PF
17.4
119.9
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
43.0
FG
41.5
92.4
FGA
89.3
.466
FG%
.465
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.0
2Pt-FG
27.5
54.0
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.538
2Pt%
.538
16.0
FT
16.4
20.6
FTA
20.7
.777
FT%
.791
11.7
ORB
10.0
30.5
DRB
34.5
42.2
TRB
44.5
28.8
AST
27.1
8.7
STL
8.4
5.1
BLK
3.9
12.9
TOV
13.9
18.9
PF
16.0
116.0
PTS
113.5

DEN
Analytics
MIA
50
Pythag Wins
42
32
Pythag Losses
40
3.89
Margin Of Victory
0.56
119.9
O Rtg
113.5
116.0
D Rtg
112.9
99.8
Pace
96.2
.259
FTr
.232
.356
3PAr
.429
.604
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIA
DEN MIA
Consensus
+3.0 (-111)
-3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-111)
+3.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
+3.0 (-113)
-3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-113)
+3.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIA
DEN MIA
Consensus
+120
-145
-151
+129
+120
-142
-155
+130
+138
-164
-168
+142
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-111)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
223.0 (-113)
223.0 (-108)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-112)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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