Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets
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- The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games but they are just 18-14 at home so far this season.
- Jimmy Butler should be good to go for the Heat despite dealing with an illness and that should be a huge lift for Miami.
The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Miami Heat on March 13, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 5.0 point favorites.
The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 86% of the spread bets, while the Miami Heat are getting 14% of the bets.
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.
We get an NBA Finals rematch in Wednesday’s Nuggets vs Heat matchup from South Florida. In that game, look for the Miami Heat to cover the spread as an underdog on their home floor. Not only are the Heat looking to exact revenge on the Nuggets for the outcome of the Finals. The Nuggets are also just not that good on the road this year, going just 18-14 away from Ball Arena, where they are 27-6. Miami should have Jimmy Butler in this game, which should help them keep this game within a possession or win it outright.
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NBA
Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
79 Games 82 46.4 FG 41.6 93.8 FGA 89.1 .495 FG% .467 12.3 3Pt-FG 13.4 33.0 3Pt-FGA 38.1 .374 3Pt% .353 34.1 2Pt-FG 28.2 60.8 2Pt-FGA 51.0 .560 2Pt% .553 16.0 FT 15.5 21.0 FTA 19.9 .762 FT% .780 11.3 ORB 9.6 31.1 DRB 34.7 42.5 TRB 44.3 31.1 AST 27.4 7.5 STL 6.9 5.9 BLK 4.9 12.1 TOV 14.2 19.2 PF 19.6 121.2 PTS 112.2
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
79 Games 82 42.8 FG 41.2 92.9 FGA 88.7 .461 FG% .465 11.8 3Pt-FG 12.9 33.3 3Pt-FGA 34.9 .354 3Pt% .370 31.0 2Pt-FG 28.3 59.6 2Pt-FGA 53.8 .521 2Pt% .527 18.2 FT 18.7 23.5 FTA 22.8 .776 FT% .818 11.5 ORB 9.7 29.3 DRB 34.1 40.7 TRB 43.8 27.2 AST 26.7 7.5 STL 7.8 5.1 BLK 3.5 12.0 TOV 13.1 18.9 PF 17.9 115.7 PTS 114.0 Four Factors
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.561 eFG% .543 10.5 TOV% 12.7 27.9 RB% 78.1 .171 FT/FGA .174
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.525 eFG% .538 10.4 TOV% 11.7 73.0 RB% 21.8 .196 FT/FGA .210 Analytics
DEN
Analytics
MIA
52 Pythag Wins 46 27 Pythag Losses 36 5.16 Margin Of Victory 1.76 121.2 O Rtg 114.0 115.7 D Rtg 112.2 94.5 Pace 96.2 .224 FTr .257 .351 3PAr .394 .588 TS% .578 Betting Trends
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 127.33 Avg Score 105.33 116.33 Avg Opp Score 110.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 123.33 Avg Score 117.33 109.67 Avg Opp Score 113.33
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 1-4-0 122.6 Avg Score 112 116 Avg Opp Score 112.2 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 114.2 Avg Score 114.8 115.2 Avg Opp Score 110.8
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 9-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 7-3-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 120.9 Avg Score 109.9 109.8 Avg Opp Score 106.9 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 4-6-0 109.6 Avg Score 112 112.2 Avg Opp Score 111.9 Head to Head
Teams Last 10