Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 17, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 3/17/2025


On March 17, 2025, the Denver Nuggets will face off against the Golden State Warriors in a highly anticipated matchup at Chase Center, set to tip-off at 10:00 PM ET. As the Warriors enter this contest as a favorite, they boast a spread of -5.0 and a moneyline of -190, while the Nuggets are listed at +165. The odds suggest that the Warriors have an implied win probability of 63%, compared to the Nuggets' 37%.

Golden State is riding a wave of momentum, having secured seven consecutive victories. Their latest triumph came against the New York Knicks, where they edged out a 97-94 win. Meanwhile, despite having a strong season, the Nuggets have stumbled recently, losing to the Washington Wizards 126-123. Nevertheless, Denver has performed well overall, winning 33 of their last 50 games.

For those interested in player prop wagers, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Rebounds market stands out. This has been the most popular betting market leading up to the game, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over on Jokic’s total of 42.5 Points and Rebounds, currently priced at -115. The expectation is that Jokic will be a key factor in keeping the Nuggets competitive against a Warriors squad that has clearly found their rhythm.

As both teams prepare to clash, the stakes are high. The outcome could have significant implications for their playoff positioning, making this matchup one to watch closely for basketball fans and sports bettors alike.


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.45 vs Golden State Warriors 122.07


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets39%34%
Warriors61%66%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/+100
66% DEN
-11.5/-120
34% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+436
29% DEN
-588
71% GS

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-110
17% UN
232.5/-110
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
45.4
FG
40.4
89.8
FGA
86.9
.506
FG%
.465
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.2
31.9
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.376
3Pt%
.363
33.4
2Pt-FG
27.3
57.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.578
2Pt%
.539
17.9
FT
16.4
23.3
FTA
21.4
.770
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
10.6
34.5
DRB
33.5
45.7
TRB
44.1
31.0
AST
25.9
8.0
STL
7.6
4.9
BLK
5.4
14.3
TOV
15.7
17.6
PF
18.6
120.8
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
40.8
93.0
FGA
90.4
.466
FG%
.451
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.4
38.7
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.2
2Pt-FG
25.3
54.4
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.538
2Pt%
.528
16.1
FT
16.9
20.7
FTA
22.1
.777
FT%
.764
11.7
ORB
12.5
30.7
DRB
32.8
42.5
TRB
45.4
29.0
AST
29.1
8.7
STL
9.4
5.1
BLK
4.8
13.0
TOV
14.0
19.0
PF
19.2
116.9
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.573
eFG%
.541
12.5
TOV%
14.1
26.7
RB%
75.6
.200
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.542
eFG%
.536
11.3
TOV%
12.3
74.6
RB%
27.3
.173
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
45.1
FG
40.9
89.1
FGA
87.8
.506
FG%
.465
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.3
31.7
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.376
3Pt%
.363
33.2
2Pt-FG
27.6
57.4
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.578
2Pt%
.539
17.8
FT
16.6
23.1
FTA
21.6
.770
FT%
.769
11.1
ORB
10.7
34.3
DRB
33.8
45.4
TRB
44.5
30.8
AST
26.1
7.9
STL
7.7
4.9
BLK
5.4
14.2
TOV
15.9
17.5
PF
18.8
119.9
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
43.0
FG
41.2
92.4
FGA
91.4
.466
FG%
.451
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.6
38.4
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.0
2Pt-FG
25.6
54.0
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.538
2Pt%
.528
16.0
FT
17.0
20.6
FTA
22.3
.777
FT%
.764
11.7
ORB
12.7
30.5
DRB
33.2
42.2
TRB
45.9
28.8
AST
29.4
8.7
STL
9.5
5.1
BLK
4.8
12.9
TOV
14.2
18.9
PF
19.4
116.0
PTS
115.0

DEN
Analytics
GS
50
Pythag Wins
49
32
Pythag Losses
33
3.89
Margin Of Victory
3.30
119.9
O Rtg
115.0
116.0
D Rtg
111.7
99.8
Pace
98.7
.259
FTr
.244
.356
3PAr
.469
.604
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-111)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-111)
+2.5 (100)
-2.5 (-112)
+11.5 (+100)
-11.5 (-120)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-108)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-114)
-5.5 (-108)
+11.5 (-114)
-11.5 (-107)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+125
-150
+436
-588
+120
-142
+470
-650
+134
-158
+450
-600
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
232.5 (-109)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
236.0 (-113)
236.0 (-108)
232.5 (-112)
232.5 (-109)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
240.5 (-105)
240.5 (-115)
232.5 (-115)
232.5 (-105)

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