Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 17, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 3/17/2025


On March 17, 2025, the Denver Nuggets will face off against the Golden State Warriors in a highly anticipated matchup at Chase Center, set to tip-off at 10:00 PM ET. As the Warriors enter this contest as a favorite, they boast a spread of -5.0 and a moneyline of -190, while the Nuggets are listed at +165. The odds suggest that the Warriors have an implied win probability of 63%, compared to the Nuggets' 37%.

Golden State is riding a wave of momentum, having secured seven consecutive victories. Their latest triumph came against the New York Knicks, where they edged out a 97-94 win. Meanwhile, despite having a strong season, the Nuggets have stumbled recently, losing to the Washington Wizards 126-123. Nevertheless, Denver has performed well overall, winning 33 of their last 50 games.

For those interested in player prop wagers, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Rebounds market stands out. This has been the most popular betting market leading up to the game, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over on Jokic’s total of 42.5 Points and Rebounds, currently priced at -115. The expectation is that Jokic will be a key factor in keeping the Nuggets competitive against a Warriors squad that has clearly found their rhythm.

As both teams prepare to clash, the stakes are high. The outcome could have significant implications for their playoff positioning, making this matchup one to watch closely for basketball fans and sports bettors alike.


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.45 vs Golden State Warriors 122.07


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets39%34%
Warriors61%66%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-105
61% DEN
-4.0/-115
39% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
31% DEN
-175
69% GS

Total Pick Consensus

236.5/-110
16% UN
236.5/-110
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
68
Games
67
45.7
FG
40.5
90.2
FGA
87.5
.507
FG%
.462
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
31.8
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.5
2Pt-FG
27.3
58.4
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.575
2Pt%
.536
17.7
FT
16.9
22.8
FTA
21.9
.775
FT%
.772
11.2
ORB
10.6
34.5
DRB
33.7
45.6
TRB
44.3
31.1
AST
25.8
8.1
STL
7.5
4.8
BLK
5.6
14.1
TOV
15.3
17.6
PF
18.2
121.2
PTS
110.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
68
Games
67
43.4
FG
41.0
93.2
FGA
91.1
.465
FG%
.450
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.3
38.6
3Pt-FGA
42.3
.365
3Pt%
.363
29.3
2Pt-FG
25.7
54.6
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.536
2Pt%
.525
16.1
FT
16.2
20.5
FTA
21.5
.785
FT%
.755
11.7
ORB
12.7
30.8
DRB
33.2
42.5
TRB
45.9
29.3
AST
29.2
8.8
STL
9.0
5.2
BLK
5.0
13.1
TOV
13.9
18.9
PF
19.5
116.9
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.574
eFG%
.537
12.3
TOV%
13.6
26.7
RB%
75.8
.196
FT/FGA
.193

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.541
eFG%
.534
11.4
TOV%
12.1
74.6
RB%
27.4
.173
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
68
Games
67
45.3
FG
40.8
89.5
FGA
88.3
.507
FG%
.462
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
31.6
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
57.9
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.575
2Pt%
.536
17.5
FT
17.0
22.6
FTA
22.0
.775
FT%
.772
11.1
ORB
10.7
34.2
DRB
34.0
45.3
TRB
44.7
30.9
AST
26.0
8.0
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
5.6
14.0
TOV
15.4
17.4
PF
18.3
120.2
PTS
111.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
68
Games
67
43.0
FG
41.3
92.4
FGA
91.9
.465
FG%
.450
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.5
38.3
3Pt-FGA
42.6
.365
3Pt%
.363
29.0
2Pt-FG
25.9
54.2
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.536
2Pt%
.525
16.0
FT
16.3
20.3
FTA
21.7
.785
FT%
.755
11.6
ORB
12.8
30.5
DRB
33.5
42.2
TRB
46.3
29.0
AST
29.5
8.7
STL
9.1
5.1
BLK
5.0
13.0
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
19.6
115.9
PTS
114.5

DEN
Analytics
GS
43
Pythag Wins
39
25
Pythag Losses
28
4.35
Margin Of Victory
2.63
120.2
O Rtg
114.5
115.9
D Rtg
111.9
100.1
Pace
99.0
.253
FTr
.236
.353
3PAr
.464
.605
TS%
.564

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-114)
-5.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-107)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+125
-150
+145
-171
+120
-142
+145
-175
+134
-158
+152
-180
+163
-200
+140
-167
+140
-165
+143
-170
+135
-160
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-109)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
236.5 (-108)
236.5 (-112)
236.0 (-113)
236.0 (-108)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
240.5 (-105)
240.5 (-115)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)

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