Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 17, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 3/17/2025


On March 17, 2025, the Denver Nuggets will face off against the Golden State Warriors in a highly anticipated matchup at Chase Center, set to tip-off at 10:00 PM ET. As the Warriors enter this contest as a favorite, they boast a spread of -5.0 and a moneyline of -190, while the Nuggets are listed at +165. The odds suggest that the Warriors have an implied win probability of 63%, compared to the Nuggets' 37%.

Golden State is riding a wave of momentum, having secured seven consecutive victories. Their latest triumph came against the New York Knicks, where they edged out a 97-94 win. Meanwhile, despite having a strong season, the Nuggets have stumbled recently, losing to the Washington Wizards 126-123. Nevertheless, Denver has performed well overall, winning 33 of their last 50 games.

For those interested in player prop wagers, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Rebounds market stands out. This has been the most popular betting market leading up to the game, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over on Jokic’s total of 42.5 Points and Rebounds, currently priced at -115. The expectation is that Jokic will be a key factor in keeping the Nuggets competitive against a Warriors squad that has clearly found their rhythm.

As both teams prepare to clash, the stakes are high. The outcome could have significant implications for their playoff positioning, making this matchup one to watch closely for basketball fans and sports bettors alike.


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.45 vs Golden State Warriors 122.07


Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets39%34%
Warriors61%66%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-112
63% DEN
DraftKings
-4.5/-108
37% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
30% DEN
BetMGM
-175
70% GS

Total Pick Consensus

238.0/-112
17% UN
Caesars
238.0/-108
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
68
Games
67
45.7
FG
40.5
90.2
FGA
87.5
.507
FG%
.462
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
31.8
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.5
2Pt-FG
27.3
58.4
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.575
2Pt%
.536
17.7
FT
16.9
22.8
FTA
21.9
.775
FT%
.772
11.2
ORB
10.6
34.5
DRB
33.7
45.6
TRB
44.3
31.1
AST
25.8
8.1
STL
7.5
4.8
BLK
5.6
14.1
TOV
15.3
17.6
PF
18.2
121.2
PTS
110.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
GS
68
Games
67
43.4
FG
41.0
93.2
FGA
91.1
.465
FG%
.450
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.3
38.6
3Pt-FGA
42.3
.365
3Pt%
.363
29.3
2Pt-FG
25.7
54.6
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.536
2Pt%
.525
16.1
FT
16.2
20.5
FTA
21.5
.785
FT%
.755
11.7
ORB
12.7
30.8
DRB
33.2
42.5
TRB
45.9
29.3
AST
29.2
8.8
STL
9.0
5.2
BLK
5.0
13.1
TOV
13.9
18.9
PF
19.5
116.9
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.574
eFG%
.537
12.3
TOV%
13.6
26.7
RB%
75.8
.196
FT/FGA
.193

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
GS
.541
eFG%
.534
11.4
TOV%
12.1
74.6
RB%
27.4
.173
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
68
Games
67
45.3
FG
40.8
89.5
FGA
88.3
.507
FG%
.462
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
31.6
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
57.9
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.575
2Pt%
.536
17.5
FT
17.0
22.6
FTA
22.0
.775
FT%
.772
11.1
ORB
10.7
34.2
DRB
34.0
45.3
TRB
44.7
30.9
AST
26.0
8.0
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
5.6
14.0
TOV
15.4
17.4
PF
18.3
120.2
PTS
111.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
68
Games
67
43.0
FG
41.3
92.4
FGA
91.9
.465
FG%
.450
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.5
38.3
3Pt-FGA
42.6
.365
3Pt%
.363
29.0
2Pt-FG
25.9
54.2
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.536
2Pt%
.525
16.0
FT
16.3
20.3
FTA
21.7
.785
FT%
.755
11.6
ORB
12.8
30.5
DRB
33.5
42.2
TRB
46.3
29.0
AST
29.5
8.7
STL
9.1
5.1
BLK
5.0
13.0
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
19.6
115.9
PTS
114.5

DEN
Analytics
GS
43
Pythag Wins
39
25
Pythag Losses
28
4.35
Margin Of Victory
2.63
120.2
O Rtg
114.5
115.9
D Rtg
111.9
100.1
Pace
99.0
.253
FTr
.236
.353
3PAr
.464
.605
TS%
.564

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN GS
DEN GS
Consensus
+125
-150
+145
-171
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+120
-142
+145
-175
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+134
-158
+148
-176
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+163
-200
+143
-167
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+140
-165
+143
-170
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+135
-160
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
237.0 (-113)
237.0 (-108)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
238.0 (-108)
238.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
236.0 (-113)
236.0 (-108)
237.0 (-113)
237.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
240.5 (-105)
240.5 (-115)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DEN
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
GS
1-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
0-3-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
116.33
Avg Score
119
122.33
Avg Opp Score
106
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-0-0
1-4-0
ATS W/L/P
1-3-1
118.4
Avg Score
118.6
124.2
Avg Opp Score
109.4
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
9-1-0
2-8-0
ATS W/L/P
5-4-1
120.6
Avg Score
119.4
122.2
Avg Opp Score
108.3
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
12/03/24
GS
236.5
+161
31
DEN
-5.0
-191
33
02/25/24
DEN
232.5
+107
30
GS
-2.0
-129
36
01/04/24
DEN
235.0
-170
34
GS
4.0
+142
33
12/25/23
GS
235.5
+237
26
DEN
-7.5
-297
29
11/08/23
GS
227.0
+155
21
DEN
-4.5
-188
26
04/02/23
GS
231.0
-167
36
DEN
4.0
+139
26
02/02/23
GS
236.0
+197
35
DEN
-6.0
-242
34
10/21/22
DEN
229.5
+177
40
GS
-5.5
-217
34
04/27/22
DEN
225.5
+319
25
GS
-8.5
-411
30
04/24/22
GS
224.0
-203
21
DEN
5.0
+165
26

Denver Nuggets

03/15/25
WAS
124.1
+272
15
DEN
-6.2
-376
23
03/14/25
LAL
282.5
+900
49
DEN
-18.5
-1435
39
03/12/25
MIN
333.9
+153
49
DEN
-2.1
-179
37
03/10/25
DEN
328.5
+414
46
OKC
-13.0
-522
44
03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/05/25
SAC
128.8
+148
23
DEN
-4.7
-184
16
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
DEN
315.7
+144
51
DET
-2.6
-170
41
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/24/25
DEN
225.5
-142
33
IND
2.9
+121
26

Golden State Warriors

03/15/25
NY
117.7
+108
16
GS
-3.3
-131
16
03/13/25
SAC
167.4
+165
13
GS
-5.4
-200
22
03/10/25
POR
323.1
+660
37
GS
-16.4
-899
48
03/08/25
DET
219.5
+155
19
GS
-4.6
-185
20
03/06/25
GS
285.0
-690
19
BKN
13.9
+516
44
03/04/25
GS
301.7
-140
33
NY
-1.3
-152
35
03/03/25
GS
79.4
-252
3
CHA
1.5
+180
3
03/01/25
GS
94.6
-106
12
PHI
1.1
+88
12
02/27/25
GS
56.5
-51
2
ORL
0.3
+43
2
02/25/25
CHA
369.3
+1482
31
GS
-29.7
-2622
48

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