Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 14, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 1/14/2025

  • Date: January 14, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:232.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -175, Dallas Mavericks 150


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 61%Denver Nuggets - 46%
Dallas Mavericks - 39%Dallas Mavericks - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets will face off against the Dallas Mavericks on January 3, 2023, at 9:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. Currently, the Nuggets hold a record of 23-15, while the Mavericks sit at 22-17. Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored, with the spread set at Nuggets -4.5 and a Moneyline of -175, giving them an implied win probability of 61%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, have a Moneyline of +150 and an implied win probability of 39%.

Entering this matchup, the Nuggets are riding a hot streak, having won their last three games, including their recent victory over the Mavericks where they triumphed 112-101. The Mavericks have been competitive as well, winning 15 of their last 25 games, but they'll be looking to rebound from their last defeat against Denver.

For those considering player prop bets, Nikola Jokic's Rebounds and Assists might be a key area to watch. This market has gained traction among bettors, with the current line set at Over 22.5 Rebounds and Assists (-130). Sharp bettors seem to believe this line is mispriced, indicating a strong belief in Jokic's ability to produce in this game.

With both teams bringing different momentum into this contest, it promises to be an intriguing battle. The Nuggets will aim to maintain their winning streak, while the Mavericks will look to even the score after their last encounter.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 117.52 vs Dallas Mavericks 118.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-110
52% DEN
+2.5/-110
48% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-136
77% DEN
+115
23% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

235.0/-110
31% UN
235.0/-108
69% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
75
Games
75
45.6
FG
42.9
89.9
FGA
91.4
.507
FG%
.469
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.7
31.9
3Pt-FGA
35.2
.381
3Pt%
.362
33.4
2Pt-FG
30.2
58.1
2Pt-FGA
56.2
.576
2Pt%
.537
17.6
FT
16.6
22.9
FTA
21.3
.770
FT%
.779
11.3
ORB
12.1
34.3
DRB
33.3
45.6
TRB
45.4
31.1
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
7.9
4.9
BLK
4.7
14.3
TOV
13.5
17.7
PF
18.7
120.9
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
75
Games
75
43.2
FG
42.2
92.7
FGA
88.3
.466
FG%
.478
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.7
38.4
3Pt-FGA
34.7
.364
3Pt%
.367
29.3
2Pt-FG
29.5
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.538
2Pt%
.550
16.3
FT
17.8
20.9
FTA
22.9
.778
FT%
.777
11.8
ORB
10.2
30.6
DRB
32.8
42.3
TRB
43.0
29.0
AST
25.2
8.9
STL
7.9
5.2
BLK
5.4
13.2
TOV
13.8
18.8
PF
18.0
116.7
PTS
115.0

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.574
eFG%
.539
12.5
TOV%
11.8
27.0
RB%
73.1
.196
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.541
eFG%
.550
11.4
TOV%
12.3
74.5
RB%
23.4
.176
FT/FGA
.202

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
75
Games
75
45.3
FG
43.1
89.4
FGA
91.8
.507
FG%
.469
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.8
31.7
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.381
3Pt%
.362
33.2
2Pt-FG
30.3
57.7
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.576
2Pt%
.537
17.5
FT
16.7
22.7
FTA
21.4
.770
FT%
.779
11.2
ORB
12.1
34.1
DRB
33.5
45.3
TRB
45.6
30.9
AST
27.2
8.1
STL
7.9
4.9
BLK
4.7
14.2
TOV
13.6
17.6
PF
18.7
120.1
PTS
115.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
75
Games
75
42.9
FG
42.4
92.1
FGA
88.7
.466
FG%
.478
13.9
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.1
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.364
3Pt%
.367
29.1
2Pt-FG
29.6
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.538
2Pt%
.550
16.2
FT
17.9
20.8
FTA
23.0
.778
FT%
.777
11.7
ORB
10.2
30.4
DRB
33.0
42.0
TRB
43.2
28.8
AST
25.4
8.8
STL
7.9
5.2
BLK
5.5
13.1
TOV
13.8
18.7
PF
18.1
115.9
PTS
115.5

DEN
Analytics
DAL
47
Pythag Wins
37
28
Pythag Losses
38
4.20
Margin Of Victory
-0.19
120.1
O Rtg
115.5
115.9
D Rtg
115.6
100.0
Pace
99.3
.254
FTr
.259
.355
3PAr
.393
.604
TS%
.584

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-205
+170
-136
+115
-225
+185
-130
+110
-196
+164
-154
+130
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-112)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-108)
235.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-112)
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-113)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-113)
231.0 (-115)
231.0 (-105)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)

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