Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 14, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 1/14/2025

  • Date: January 14, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:232.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -175, Dallas Mavericks 150


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 61%Denver Nuggets - 46%
Dallas Mavericks - 39%Dallas Mavericks - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets will face off against the Dallas Mavericks on January 3, 2023, at 9:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. Currently, the Nuggets hold a record of 23-15, while the Mavericks sit at 22-17. Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored, with the spread set at Nuggets -4.5 and a Moneyline of -175, giving them an implied win probability of 61%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, have a Moneyline of +150 and an implied win probability of 39%.

Entering this matchup, the Nuggets are riding a hot streak, having won their last three games, including their recent victory over the Mavericks where they triumphed 112-101. The Mavericks have been competitive as well, winning 15 of their last 25 games, but they'll be looking to rebound from their last defeat against Denver.

For those considering player prop bets, Nikola Jokic's Rebounds and Assists might be a key area to watch. This market has gained traction among bettors, with the current line set at Over 22.5 Rebounds and Assists (-130). Sharp bettors seem to believe this line is mispriced, indicating a strong belief in Jokic's ability to produce in this game.

With both teams bringing different momentum into this contest, it promises to be an intriguing battle. The Nuggets will aim to maintain their winning streak, while the Mavericks will look to even the score after their last encounter.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 117.52 vs Dallas Mavericks 118.79

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-110
52% DEN
BetRivers
+2.5/-110
48% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-136
77% DEN
FanDuel
+115
23% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

235.0/-110
31% UN
FanDuel
235.0/-108
69% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
56
Games
57
45.9
FG
41.9
90.1
FGA
91.5
.509
FG%
.458
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.0
31.4
3Pt-FGA
35.9
.380
3Pt%
.361
33.9
2Pt-FG
28.9
58.6
2Pt-FGA
55.6
.578
2Pt%
.521
17.9
FT
16.6
23.1
FTA
21.5
.777
FT%
.771
11.3
ORB
12.3
34.7
DRB
32.4
45.9
TRB
44.6
31.3
AST
26.6
8.3
STL
8.1
4.8
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
13.5
17.5
PF
19.0
121.7
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
56
Games
57
43.1
FG
42.2
93.4
FGA
88.3
.462
FG%
.478
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.6
3Pt-FGA
35.3
.360
3Pt%
.372
29.2
2Pt-FG
29.1
54.8
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.533
2Pt%
.550
15.7
FT
18.0
20.2
FTA
23.3
.778
FT%
.773
11.8
ORB
10.9
30.5
DRB
33.4
42.3
TRB
44.3
29.3
AST
25.3
8.7
STL
7.9
5.2
BLK
6.0
13.3
TOV
14.2
19.0
PF
18.6
115.8
PTS
115.6

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.576
eFG%
.529
12.4
TOV%
11.8
27.0
RB%
73.1
.199
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.536
eFG%
.553
11.5
TOV%
12.6
74.6
RB%
25.2
.168
FT/FGA
.204

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
56
Games
57
45.5
FG
42.2
89.3
FGA
92.1
.509
FG%
.458
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.1
31.2
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.380
3Pt%
.361
33.6
2Pt-FG
29.1
58.1
2Pt-FGA
55.9
.578
2Pt%
.521
17.8
FT
16.7
22.9
FTA
21.6
.777
FT%
.771
11.2
ORB
12.4
34.4
DRB
32.6
45.5
TRB
45.0
31.0
AST
26.8
8.2
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
13.6
17.4
PF
19.1
120.6
PTS
114.1

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
56
Games
57
42.7
FG
42.5
92.5
FGA
88.9
.462
FG%
.478
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.360
3Pt%
.372
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.3
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.533
2Pt%
.550
15.6
FT
18.2
20.0
FTA
23.5
.778
FT%
.773
11.7
ORB
11.0
30.2
DRB
33.6
41.9
TRB
44.6
29.0
AST
25.5
8.6
STL
8.0
5.2
BLK
6.0
13.2
TOV
14.3
18.9
PF
18.8
114.8
PTS
116.4

DEN
Analytics
DAL
37
Pythag Wins
33
19
Pythag Losses
24
5.82
Margin Of Victory
2.32
120.6
O Rtg
116.4
114.8
D Rtg
114.1
100.1
Pace
99.0
.257
FTr
.264
.349
3PAr
.400
.607
TS%
.587

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-205
+170
-136
+115
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-225
+185
-130
+110
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-196
+164
-154
+130
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-180
+148
-132
+110
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-180
+152
-170
+143
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-190
+155
-140
+115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-108)
235.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-113)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
231.0 (-115)
231.0 (-105)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DEN
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DAL
3-0-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
3-0-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
120.67
Avg Score
112
103
Avg Opp Score
106.67
4-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
4-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-4-0
118
Avg Score
112.4
107.6
Avg Opp Score
114.6
7-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-7-0
7-3-0
ATS W/L/P
2-8-0
124
Avg Score
108
116.2
Avg Opp Score
111.3
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
01/12/25
DEN
232.5
-217
17
DAL
5.5
+183
32
11/22/24
DAL
229.0
+165
33
DEN
-5.0
-198
31
11/10/24
DAL
233.0
+113
29
DEN
-2.0
-133
35
03/17/24
DEN
231.5
-120
34
DAL
1.5
-101
30
12/18/23
DAL
239.5
+279
20
DEN
-8.5
-353
28
11/03/23
DAL
230.0
+191
24
DEN
-6.0
-234
40
02/15/23
DAL
229.0
+188
25
DEN
-6.0
-232
26
12/06/22
DAL
223.5
+159
36
DEN
-4.5
-192
29
11/20/22
DEN
217.5
+399
25
DAL
-10.5
-529
25
11/18/22
DEN
215.5
+345
27
DAL
-9.5
-444
29

Denver Nuggets

02/20/25
CHA
238.6
+1112
31
DEN
-18.9
-2188
40
02/12/25
POR
353.7
+484
41
DEN
-13.8
-608
61
02/10/25
POR
335.3
+469
39
DEN
-13.1
-602
56
02/08/25
DEN
377.9
-412
60
PHO
10.5
+342
52
02/06/25
ORL
277.5
+267
33
DEN
-8.3
-324
32
02/05/25
NO
117.8
+206
18
DEN
-5.4
-275
18
02/03/25
NO
168.7
+220
16
DEN
-6.6
-278
23
02/01/25
DEN
142.1
-489
17
CHA
5.0
+344
13
01/31/25
DEN
177.7
-305
29
PHI
5.4
+240
27
01/29/25
DEN
275.3
+137
31
NY
-2.8
-161
35

Dallas Mavericks

02/21/25
NO
78.4
+61
2
DAL
-1.8
-73
11
02/13/25
MIA
176.6
-119
18
DAL
2.0
+101
17
02/12/25
GS
358.3
-481
47
DAL
12.2
+391
49
02/08/25
HOU
367.4
+205
32
DAL
-4.8
-239
53
02/06/25
DAL
296.7
+682
41
BOS
-16.0
-955
29
02/04/25
DAL
275.5
+182
38
PHI
-5.4
-217
44
02/02/25
DAL
333.5
+1115
27
CLE
-21.9
-1898
71
01/31/25
DAL
173.1
-88
24
DET
0.6
-77
21
01/29/25
DAL
266.2
-130
40
NO
1.3
-119
36
01/27/25
WAS
186.1
+454
13
DAL
-10.5
-647
34

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