Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 14, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 1/14/2025

  • Date: January 14, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:232.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -175, Dallas Mavericks 150


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 61%Denver Nuggets - 46%
Dallas Mavericks - 39%Dallas Mavericks - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets will face off against the Dallas Mavericks on January 3, 2023, at 9:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. Currently, the Nuggets hold a record of 23-15, while the Mavericks sit at 22-17. Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored, with the spread set at Nuggets -4.5 and a Moneyline of -175, giving them an implied win probability of 61%. The Mavericks, on the other hand, have a Moneyline of +150 and an implied win probability of 39%.

Entering this matchup, the Nuggets are riding a hot streak, having won their last three games, including their recent victory over the Mavericks where they triumphed 112-101. The Mavericks have been competitive as well, winning 15 of their last 25 games, but they'll be looking to rebound from their last defeat against Denver.

For those considering player prop bets, Nikola Jokic's Rebounds and Assists might be a key area to watch. This market has gained traction among bettors, with the current line set at Over 22.5 Rebounds and Assists (-130). Sharp bettors seem to believe this line is mispriced, indicating a strong belief in Jokic's ability to produce in this game.

With both teams bringing different momentum into this contest, it promises to be an intriguing battle. The Nuggets will aim to maintain their winning streak, while the Mavericks will look to even the score after their last encounter.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 117.52 vs Dallas Mavericks 118.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-108
59% DEN
+4.5/-112
41% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-192
80% DEN
+160
20% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

233.0/-112
22% UN
233.0/-108
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
38
Games
39
45.1
FG
41.1
90.4
FGA
90.4
.499
FG%
.455
11.8
3Pt-FG
12.7
31.1
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.378
3Pt%
.354
33.3
2Pt-FG
28.4
59.3
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.562
2Pt%
.521
18.4
FT
16.9
24.2
FTA
22.0
.759
FT%
.768
11.0
ORB
11.9
34.5
DRB
32.5
45.5
TRB
44.4
31.2
AST
26.3
8.7
STL
8.4
4.7
BLK
4.4
14.1
TOV
14.1
18.2
PF
19.0
120.4
PTS
111.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
38
Games
39
43.1
FG
42.3
93.0
FGA
88.3
.463
FG%
.479
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.3
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.352
3Pt%
.374
29.3
2Pt-FG
28.9
53.7
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.545
2Pt%
.549
16.2
FT
18.2
20.9
FTA
23.5
.772
FT%
.775
11.6
ORB
11.1
31.9
DRB
33.8
43.4
TRB
44.9
29.4
AST
25.2
8.8
STL
8.1
5.6
BLK
5.9
14.2
TOV
14.3
20.1
PF
19.1
116.1
PTS
116.1

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.564
eFG%
.525
12.3
TOV%
12.3
25.7
RB%
74.0
.203
FT/FGA
.187

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.537
eFG%
.554
12.2
TOV%
12.6
74.9
RB%
25.5
.174
FT/FGA
.206

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
38
Games
39
44.2
FG
41.3
88.7
FGA
90.9
.499
FG%
.455
11.5
3Pt-FG
12.8
30.5
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.378
3Pt%
.354
32.7
2Pt-FG
28.5
58.2
2Pt-FGA
54.7
.562
2Pt%
.521
18.0
FT
17.0
23.8
FTA
22.1
.759
FT%
.768
10.8
ORB
12.0
33.8
DRB
32.7
44.6
TRB
44.6
30.6
AST
26.4
8.5
STL
8.5
4.6
BLK
4.4
13.9
TOV
14.1
17.8
PF
19.1
118.0
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
38
Games
39
42.2
FG
42.5
91.2
FGA
88.8
.463
FG%
.479
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.352
3Pt%
.374
28.7
2Pt-FG
29.1
52.7
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.545
2Pt%
.549
15.8
FT
18.3
20.5
FTA
23.6
.772
FT%
.775
11.4
ORB
11.2
31.2
DRB
34.0
42.6
TRB
45.2
28.8
AST
25.3
8.7
STL
8.1
5.5
BLK
5.9
14.0
TOV
14.4
19.7
PF
19.2
113.9
PTS
116.7

DEN
Analytics
DAL
24
Pythag Wins
24
14
Pythag Losses
15
4.24
Margin Of Victory
4.21
118.0
O Rtg
116.7
113.9
D Rtg
112.4
100.9
Pace
99.2
.268
FTr
.266
.344
3PAr
.402
.595
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-113)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-205
+170
-182
+154
-225
+185
-192
+160
-196
+164
-205
+172
-180
+148
-175
+145
-180
+152
-190
+158
-190
+155
-190
+155
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
233.0 (-109)
233.0 (-112)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
233.0 (-108)
233.0 (-112)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-113)
233.0 (-108)
233.0 (-113)
231.0 (-115)
231.0 (-105)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)