Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 15, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick & Prediction – 11/15/2024

  • Date: November 15, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets -5 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans 5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -195, New Orleans Pelicans 170

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 64% Denver Nuggets - 83%
New Orleans Pelicans - 36% New Orleans Pelicans - 17%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

As the Denver Nuggets (7-3) prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans (3-9) on Friday night, the Smoothie King Center will host a matchup that seems tilted in favor of the visitors. Denver enters the game riding a wave of momentum, having won their last five games, including a close 122-120 victory over the Dallas Mavericks. In contrast, the Pelicans are struggling, with six consecutive losses, most recently falling 106-88 to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Nuggets, despite playing on the road, are favored by 5 points. This is reflected in the betting lines, where Denver's moneyline is set at -195, suggesting an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Pelicans sit at +170, translating to a 36% chance of pulling off an upset. Denver's advantage is further bolstered by a five-day rest leading up to the game, offering their players valuable recovery time.

For those eyeing player prop bets, Trey Murphy III's performance is drawing significant attention. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has seen a surge in interest, with sharp bettors backing the Over. Initially set at 21.5 PRA (-105), it has moved to 22.5 (-110), indicating confidence in Murphy's ability to contribute significantly.

With Denver's recent form and New Orleans' struggles, the Nuggets are expected to capitalize on their momentum. However, the Pelicans will be eager to halt their skid, making for an intriguing contest. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if the Nuggets can continue their winning streak or if the Pelicans can turn their fortunes around on home court.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 116.04 vs New Orleans Pelicans 104.51

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.0/-110
63% DEN
+2.0/-110
37% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-137
80% DEN
+114
20% NO

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-108
25% UN
217.5/-112
75% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
20
Games
23
43.4
FG
43.8
89.3
FGA
90.1
.486
FG%
.486
12.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
31.0
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.387
3Pt%
.373
31.4
2Pt-FG
29.3
58.3
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.538
2Pt%
.572
19.2
FT
14.3
25.2
FTA
18.5
.760
FT%
.774
11.1
ORB
11.7
33.4
DRB
33.6
44.4
TRB
45.2
30.1
AST
28.7
8.7
STL
9.0
4.8
BLK
5.7
14.3
TOV
14.5
18.1
PF
17.3
117.9
PTS
116.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
20
Games
23
43.7
FG
39.0
92.8
FGA
89.3
.470
FG%
.436
14.2
3Pt-FG
10.7
38.7
3Pt-FGA
32.7
.366
3Pt%
.328
29.5
2Pt-FG
28.2
54.1
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.545
2Pt%
.499
15.4
FT
15.7
20.2
FTA
20.8
.762
FT%
.752
11.9
ORB
12.8
32.5
DRB
30.6
44.4
TRB
43.4
30.0
AST
23.7
8.5
STL
9.2
5.8
BLK
5.3
15.0
TOV
15.2
21.1
PF
17.6
116.8
PTS
104.3

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.553
eFG%
.566
12.4
TOV%
12.9
25.4
RB%
72.4
.215
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.547
eFG%
.496
12.9
TOV%
13.4
73.8
RB%
27.6
.165
FT/FGA
.175

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
20
Games
23
42.7
FG
44.6
87.8
FGA
91.8
.486
FG%
.486
11.8
3Pt-FG
14.8
30.5
3Pt-FGA
39.7
.387
3Pt%
.373
30.9
2Pt-FG
29.8
57.3
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.538
2Pt%
.572
18.8
FT
14.6
24.8
FTA
18.8
.760
FT%
.774
10.9
ORB
11.9
32.8
DRB
34.2
43.7
TRB
46.1
29.6
AST
29.3
8.6
STL
9.2
4.7
BLK
5.8
14.0
TOV
14.8
17.8
PF
17.6
116.0
PTS
118.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
20
Games
23
43.0
FG
39.7
91.3
FGA
91.0
.470
FG%
.436
13.9
3Pt-FG
10.9
38.1
3Pt-FGA
33.4
.366
3Pt%
.328
29.0
2Pt-FG
28.8
53.3
2Pt-FGA
57.6
.545
2Pt%
.499
15.1
FT
15.9
19.8
FTA
21.2
.762
FT%
.752
11.7
ORB
13.1
32.0
DRB
31.1
43.7
TRB
44.2
29.5
AST
24.1
8.4
STL
9.3
5.7
BLK
5.4
14.8
TOV
15.5
20.7
PF
17.9
115.0
PTS
106.3

DEN
Analytics
NO
11
Pythag Wins
4
9
Pythag Losses
19
1.05
Margin Of Victory
-12.09
116.0
O Rtg
106.3
115.0
D Rtg
118.6
100.5
Pace
98.1
.282
FTr
.233
.347
3PAr
.367
.587
TS%
.530

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-111)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-108)
+8.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-112)
-8.5 (-106)
+8.5 (-107)
-3.0 (-106)
+3.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-105)
+3.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
+110
-130
-137
+114
-102
-118
-125
+105
-370
+295
-126
+108
-375
+290
-148
+123
-420
+320
-160
+135
-400
+310
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
225.5 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-109)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-105)
217.5 (-115)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)