Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 23, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers Pick For 11/23/2024

  • Date: November 23, 2024
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets 4 (-110), Los Angeles Lakers -4 (-110)
Over/Under:233.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets 150, Los Angeles Lakers -170


Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 39%Denver Nuggets - 42%
Los Angeles Lakers - 61%Los Angeles Lakers - 58%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets, currently holding an 8-6 record, are set to face off against the Los Angeles Lakers, who stand at 10-5, in a Saturday night showdown at the Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 PM ET. The Nuggets are coming off a tough back-to-back, having played just the night before, which might present a challenge in terms of player fatigue and overall performance.

The Lakers, favored at home, are looking to capitalize on their recent run of good form, winning 10 of their last 15 games. The Nuggets, on the other hand, have been struggling, dropping three of their last four contests, including a narrow 123-120 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. The Lakers also faced a close defeat in their last outing, falling 119-118 to the Orlando Magic.

Oddsmakers have set the spread at Lakers -4.0, reflecting their status as favorites. The moneyline odds give the Lakers a 61% implied probability of winning, while the Nuggets sit at a 39% chance. Bettors looking for value might consider the Nuggets' moneyline at +150, though the back-to-back scenario could be a significant hurdle.

One of the most intriguing betting angles for this matchup is the player prop market for Anthony Davis's points. The prop total for Davis opened at over 26.5 points with odds of -120, but sharp bettors have pushed it to 27.5 points at -115. This suggests confidence in Davis's scoring ability against a potentially fatigued Nuggets defense.

As the Lakers aim to maintain their strong home performance and the Nuggets look to overcome their recent struggles, this matchup promises to deliver an exciting night of basketball action.


Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 118.44 vs Los Angeles Lakers 121.17

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-112
57% DEN
-4.0/-108
43% LAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+144
15% DEN
-170
85% LAL

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
33% UN
235.5/-112
67% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
LAL
25
Games
27
44.4
FG
42.6
89.4
FGA
89.4
.496
FG%
.477
11.7
3Pt-FG
13.6
30.5
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.383
3Pt%
.368
32.7
2Pt-FG
29.0
58.9
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.555
2Pt%
.553
19.0
FT
15.5
25.3
FTA
19.7
.752
FT%
.788
10.9
ORB
11.0
33.9
DRB
33.6
44.8
TRB
44.6
31.0
AST
28.3
9.0
STL
7.9
4.6
BLK
4.1
14.7
TOV
14.7
18.4
PF
20.8
119.4
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
LAL
25
Games
27
43.6
FG
40.4
93.3
FGA
86.3
.467
FG%
.468
14.0
3Pt-FG
11.6
39.1
3Pt-FGA
33.4
.358
3Pt%
.347
29.6
2Pt-FG
28.8
54.2
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.546
2Pt%
.544
15.7
FT
19.0
20.6
FTA
24.3
.763
FT%
.780
12.1
ORB
9.4
31.8
DRB
31.9
43.8
TRB
41.3
29.5
AST
26.0
9.0
STL
7.9
5.9
BLK
5.0
14.8
TOV
13.7
21.1
PF
16.9
116.9
PTS
111.4

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
LAL
.562
eFG%
.552
12.8
TOV%
13.1
25.5
RB%
74.3
.213
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
LAL
.542
eFG%
.535
12.6
TOV%
12.4
73.7
RB%
21.9
.168
FT/FGA
.220

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
LAL
25
Games
27
43.4
FG
43.0
87.5
FGA
90.3
.496
FG%
.477
11.4
3Pt-FG
13.7
29.9
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.383
3Pt%
.368
32.0
2Pt-FG
29.3
57.7
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.555
2Pt%
.553
18.6
FT
15.7
24.8
FTA
19.9
.752
FT%
.788
10.7
ORB
11.1
33.2
DRB
33.9
43.9
TRB
45.1
30.4
AST
28.6
8.8
STL
8.0
4.5
BLK
4.2
14.4
TOV
14.9
18.1
PF
21.0
116.9
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
LAL
25
Games
27
42.7
FG
40.8
91.3
FGA
87.2
.467
FG%
.468
13.7
3Pt-FG
11.7
38.3
3Pt-FGA
33.7
.358
3Pt%
.347
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.1
53.1
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.546
2Pt%
.544
15.4
FT
19.2
20.1
FTA
24.5
.763
FT%
.780
11.8
ORB
9.5
31.1
DRB
32.2
42.9
TRB
41.7
28.9
AST
26.3
8.9
STL
8.0
5.8
BLK
5.1
14.5
TOV
13.8
20.6
PF
17.1
114.5
PTS
112.5

DEN
Analytics
LAL
14
Pythag Wins
11
11
Pythag Losses
16
2.52
Margin Of Victory
-2.89
116.9
O Rtg
112.5
114.5
D Rtg
115.4
101.3
Pace
98.6
.283
FTr
.282
.341
3PAr
.387
.594
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN LAL
DEN LAL
Consensus
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-113)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-112)
-4.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN LAL
DEN LAL
Consensus
+140
-169
+144
-170
+142
-170
+145
-175
+144
-172
+148
-176
+138
-165
+138
-165
+143
-170
+143
-170
+135
-165
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)
235.5 (-113)
235.5 (-108)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
236.0 (-112)
236.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
236.0 (-112)
236.0 (-108)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-112)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
230.5 (-105)
230.5 (-115)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)