Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 24, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 11/24/2024

  • Date: November 24, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Miami Heat -3 (-110)
Over/Under:222
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 125, Miami Heat -145


Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43%Dallas Mavericks - 9%
Miami Heat - 57%Miami Heat - 91%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

As the Dallas Mavericks head to the Kaseya Center for their Sunday night showdown against the Miami Heat, basketball fans and bettors alike have plenty to chew on. Dallas, boasting a 9-7 record, enters the game on a hot streak, having notched four consecutive wins. Their latest triumph, a thrilling 123-120 victory over the Denver Nuggets, was an unexpected upset, as they overcame a 4.5-point underdog status with just a 37% chance of winning.

Meanwhile, the Heat, sitting at 6-7, have struggled in recent games, losing six of their last ten. Despite this, Miami is slightly favored at home, with a spread of Heat -3.0. The Heat's last outing was a commanding 106-89 win over the Philadelphia 76ers. They’ve had the luxury of six days off since, potentially giving them a rest advantage as they aim to turn their fortunes around.

The betting odds reflect a 57% implied win probability for the Heat, with a moneyline of -145. On the other side, the Mavericks hold a 43% implied win probability with a moneyline of +125. Bettors looking for value might find intrigue in the player prop market, particularly Kyrie Irving's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA). Currently set at over 36.5 (-110), sharp bettors have been eyeing the over, suggesting it could be mispriced.

With the Heat's recent struggles and the Mavericks' momentum, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest. While Miami has the edge at home, Dallas has shown they can defy the odds. Expect an intense battle as both teams vie for a crucial win.


Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 107.76 vs Miami Heat 123.18

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-115
75% DAL
-2.5/-105
25% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+120
31% DAL
-141
69% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

220.5/-110
14% UN
220.5/-110
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
27
Games
24
43.4
FG
40.6
89.0
FGA
87.9
.488
FG%
.462
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.8
35.5
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.377
3Pt%
.366
30.0
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.561
2Pt%
.535
18.4
FT
14.6
24.0
FTA
18.2
.767
FT%
.803
11.3
ORB
11.0
34.4
DRB
34.5
45.7
TRB
45.5
25.9
AST
27.0
8.4
STL
7.0
5.5
BLK
5.2
14.4
TOV
15.4
19.4
PF
19.2
118.6
PTS
109.7

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
27
Games
24
41.2
FG
40.0
90.9
FGA
88.4
.454
FG%
.453
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.8
37.4
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.358
3Pt%
.379
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.3
53.4
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.520
2Pt%
.511
16.9
FT
17.9
22.1
FTA
22.9
.765
FT%
.782
12.1
ORB
10.3
31.6
DRB
33.6
43.7
TRB
43.9
27.4
AST
26.4
8.4
STL
9.1
4.1
BLK
3.5
14.1
TOV
12.9
19.3
PF
16.3
112.7
PTS
112.8

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
MIA
.563
eFG%
.541
12.6
TOV%
13.8
26.3
RB%
75.3
.207
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
MIA
.527
eFG%
.537
12.3
TOV%
11.6
74.0
RB%
23.0
.186
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
27
Games
24
43.3
FG
41.3
88.9
FGA
89.4
.488
FG%
.462
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.1
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.377
3Pt%
.366
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.2
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.561
2Pt%
.535
18.4
FT
14.9
24.0
FTA
18.5
.767
FT%
.803
11.3
ORB
11.2
34.4
DRB
35.1
45.7
TRB
46.3
25.8
AST
27.5
8.4
STL
7.1
5.5
BLK
5.3
14.4
TOV
15.6
19.4
PF
19.5
118.5
PTS
111.6

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
27
Games
24
41.2
FG
40.7
90.8
FGA
89.9
.454
FG%
.453
13.4
3Pt-FG
15.0
37.4
3Pt-FGA
39.7
.358
3Pt%
.379
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.7
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.520
2Pt%
.511
16.9
FT
18.2
22.1
FTA
23.3
.765
FT%
.782
12.1
ORB
10.5
31.6
DRB
34.2
43.7
TRB
44.7
27.4
AST
26.8
8.4
STL
9.2
4.1
BLK
3.6
14.1
TOV
13.1
19.3
PF
16.5
112.7
PTS
114.7

DAL
Analytics
MIA
18
Pythag Wins
14
9
Pythag Losses
10
5.81
Margin Of Victory
3.08
118.5
O Rtg
114.7
112.7
D Rtg
111.6
99.7
Pace
97.1
.270
FTr
.259
.399
3PAr
.442
.596
TS%
.573

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL MIA
DAL MIA
Consensus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL MIA
DAL MIA
Consensus
+110
-130
+120
-141
+110
-130
+114
-135
+122
-144
+120
-142
+112
-132
+118
-139
+115
-135
+118
-140
+115
-140
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
220.5 (-112)
220.5 (-109)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.5 (-112)
220.5 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.5 (-112)
220.5 (-109)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.0 (-105)
221.0 (-115)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.5 (-115)
220.5 (-105)