Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
Over/Under: 232
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 125, Golden State Warriors -145

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43% Dallas Mavericks - 45%
Golden State Warriors - 57% Golden State Warriors - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) will face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) in a Tuesday night showdown at the Chase Center, scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, riding high on a wave of momentum, enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of -3.0. Their recent form has been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a significant upset against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they defied a 6.5-point underdog status with a 127-116 victory.

In contrast, the Mavericks have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games. Their latest outing was a narrow 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks are not to be underestimated, carrying a moneyline of +125, which translates to an implied win probability of 43%.

The Warriors, with a moneyline of -145, hold a 57% implied probability of securing the win. Bettors looking for value might want to focus on player prop markets, specifically Klay Thompson's points and assists. This market has drawn significant attention, with the over 17.5 points and assists priced at -105, indicating a belief among sharp bettors that it might be undervalued.

As the Warriors look to extend their winning streak at home, the Mavericks aim to halt their recent skid. This matchup offers intriguing betting angles and promises to deliver an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. With both teams boasting star power and the potential for high-scoring affairs, fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining evening of basketball action.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 119.34 vs Golden State Warriors 120.97

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
68% DAL
-2.5/-115
32% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+121
13% DAL
-143
87% GS

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
19% UN
235.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
42
Games
41
42.0
FG
40.3
88.1
FGA
88.3
.477
FG%
.456
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
35.6
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.372
3Pt%
.357
28.8
2Pt-FG
26.8
52.5
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.549
2Pt%
.530
18.1
FT
16.8
23.5
FTA
21.7
.770
FT%
.774
10.9
ORB
10.8
33.7
DRB
34.3
44.5
TRB
45.1
25.2
AST
26.2
8.3
STL
7.6
5.8
BLK
6.1
14.4
TOV
15.0
19.0
PF
17.6
115.4
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
42
Games
41
41.0
FG
41.0
90.4
FGA
91.5
.454
FG%
.448
12.9
3Pt-FG
15.1
36.2
3Pt-FGA
41.3
.357
3Pt%
.365
28.1
2Pt-FG
25.9
54.2
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.518
2Pt%
.517
16.8
FT
14.3
21.8
FTA
20.0
.771
FT%
.715
12.0
ORB
12.9
32.7
DRB
33.8
44.7
TRB
46.6
26.2
AST
28.3
8.5
STL
8.9
4.5
BLK
5.4
14.1
TOV
14.3
19.1
PF
19.3
111.8
PTS
111.4

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.553
eFG%
.533
12.7
TOV%
13.3
24.9
RB%
75.8
.205
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.526
eFG%
.531
12.4
TOV%
12.5
73.7
RB%
27.2
.186
FT/FGA
.157

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
42
Games
41
42.3
FG
40.5
88.6
FGA
88.9
.477
FG%
.456
13.3
3Pt-FG
13.6
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.372
3Pt%
.357
29.0
2Pt-FG
26.9
52.8
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.549
2Pt%
.530
18.2
FT
16.9
23.6
FTA
21.8
.770
FT%
.774
10.9
ORB
10.9
33.9
DRB
34.5
44.8
TRB
45.4
25.4
AST
26.4
8.4
STL
7.7
5.9
BLK
6.2
14.4
TOV
15.1
19.1
PF
17.7
116.0
PTS
111.6

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
42
Games
41
41.3
FG
41.3
90.9
FGA
92.1
.454
FG%
.448
13.0
3Pt-FG
15.2
36.4
3Pt-FGA
41.6
.357
3Pt%
.365
28.3
2Pt-FG
26.1
54.5
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.518
2Pt%
.517
16.9
FT
14.4
21.9
FTA
20.2
.771
FT%
.715
12.1
ORB
12.9
32.9
DRB
34.0
44.9
TRB
46.9
26.3
AST
28.5
8.5
STL
9.0
4.5
BLK
5.4
14.2
TOV
14.4
19.2
PF
19.4
112.4
PTS
112.1

DAL
Analytics
GS
26
Pythag Wins
21
16
Pythag Losses
20
3.57
Margin Of Victory
0.56
116.0
O Rtg
112.1
112.4
D Rtg
111.6
99.2
Pace
99.1
.267
FTr
.219
.404
3PAr
.452
.586
TS%
.555

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-134
+114
+121
-143
+120
-142
+120
-142
-148
+126
+120
-142
-134
+114
+123
-143
+110
-130
+122
-145
+110
-130
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-112)
235.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)

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