Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
Over/Under: 232
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 125, Golden State Warriors -145

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43% Dallas Mavericks - 45%
Golden State Warriors - 57% Golden State Warriors - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) will face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) in a Tuesday night showdown at the Chase Center, scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, riding high on a wave of momentum, enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of -3.0. Their recent form has been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a significant upset against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they defied a 6.5-point underdog status with a 127-116 victory.

In contrast, the Mavericks have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games. Their latest outing was a narrow 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks are not to be underestimated, carrying a moneyline of +125, which translates to an implied win probability of 43%.

The Warriors, with a moneyline of -145, hold a 57% implied probability of securing the win. Bettors looking for value might want to focus on player prop markets, specifically Klay Thompson's points and assists. This market has drawn significant attention, with the over 17.5 points and assists priced at -105, indicating a belief among sharp bettors that it might be undervalued.

As the Warriors look to extend their winning streak at home, the Mavericks aim to halt their recent skid. This matchup offers intriguing betting angles and promises to deliver an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. With both teams boasting star power and the potential for high-scoring affairs, fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining evening of basketball action.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 119.34 vs Golden State Warriors 120.97

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
68% DAL
-2.5/-115
32% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+121
13% DAL
-143
87% GS

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
19% UN
235.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
15
Games
14
43.2
FG
39.1
89.7
FGA
91.7
.481
FG%
.427
12.2
3Pt-FG
12.0
35.1
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.347
3Pt%
.312
31.0
2Pt-FG
27.1
54.6
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.568
2Pt%
.510
17.0
FT
18.9
21.9
FTA
24.4
.775
FT%
.772
11.5
ORB
13.0
32.9
DRB
34.0
44.4
TRB
47.0
25.1
AST
25.2
7.9
STL
7.4
5.1
BLK
5.4
13.0
TOV
16.5
20.8
PF
18.6
115.6
PTS
109.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
15
Games
14
39.1
FG
43.9
87.5
FGA
92.9
.447
FG%
.472
12.5
3Pt-FG
16.1
37.0
3Pt-FGA
41.7
.339
3Pt%
.387
26.6
2Pt-FG
27.7
50.5
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.526
2Pt%
.541
18.5
FT
15.8
24.9
FTA
22.7
.743
FT%
.695
12.1
ORB
13.3
32.1
DRB
35.8
44.3
TRB
49.1
26.1
AST
30.5
7.5
STL
10.0
4.2
BLK
5.7
14.4
TOV
14.7
18.9
PF
21.7
109.3
PTS
119.6

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.549
eFG%
.492
11.6
TOV%
13.9
26.3
RB%
73.4
.189
FT/FGA
.206

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.519
eFG%
.559
12.8
TOV%
12.5
73.1
RB%
28.1
.211
FT/FGA
.170

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
15
Games
14
44.0
FG
38.2
91.4
FGA
89.5
.481
FG%
.427
12.4
3Pt-FG
11.7
35.8
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.347
3Pt%
.312
31.6
2Pt-FG
26.5
55.6
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.568
2Pt%
.510
17.3
FT
18.4
22.3
FTA
23.8
.775
FT%
.772
11.7
ORB
12.7
33.5
DRB
33.2
45.2
TRB
45.9
25.6
AST
24.6
8.1
STL
7.2
5.2
BLK
5.3
13.2
TOV
16.1
21.2
PF
18.2
117.7
PTS
106.5

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
15
Games
14
39.9
FG
42.8
89.2
FGA
90.7
.447
FG%
.472
12.8
3Pt-FG
15.8
37.7
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.339
3Pt%
.387
27.1
2Pt-FG
27.0
51.5
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.526
2Pt%
.541
18.8
FT
15.4
25.3
FTA
22.2
.743
FT%
.695
12.4
ORB
13.0
32.7
DRB
34.9
45.1
TRB
47.9
26.6
AST
29.8
7.6
STL
9.8
4.3
BLK
5.6
14.7
TOV
14.4
19.2
PF
21.2
111.3
PTS
116.7

DAL
Analytics
GS
10
Pythag Wins
11
5
Pythag Losses
3
6.33
Margin Of Victory
10.50
117.7
O Rtg
116.7
111.3
D Rtg
106.5
98.2
Pace
101.7
.244
FTr
.244
.392
3PAr
.449
.582
TS%
.581

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-134
+114
+121
-143
+120
-142
+120
-142
-148
+126
+120
-142
-134
+114
+123
-143
+110
-130
+122
-145
+110
-130
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-112)
235.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)