Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
Over/Under: 232
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 125, Golden State Warriors -145

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43% Dallas Mavericks - 45%
Golden State Warriors - 57% Golden State Warriors - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) will face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) in a Tuesday night showdown at the Chase Center, scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, riding high on a wave of momentum, enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of -3.0. Their recent form has been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a significant upset against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they defied a 6.5-point underdog status with a 127-116 victory.

In contrast, the Mavericks have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games. Their latest outing was a narrow 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks are not to be underestimated, carrying a moneyline of +125, which translates to an implied win probability of 43%.

The Warriors, with a moneyline of -145, hold a 57% implied probability of securing the win. Bettors looking for value might want to focus on player prop markets, specifically Klay Thompson's points and assists. This market has drawn significant attention, with the over 17.5 points and assists priced at -105, indicating a belief among sharp bettors that it might be undervalued.

As the Warriors look to extend their winning streak at home, the Mavericks aim to halt their recent skid. This matchup offers intriguing betting angles and promises to deliver an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. With both teams boasting star power and the potential for high-scoring affairs, fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining evening of basketball action.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 119.34 vs Golden State Warriors 120.97

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
68% DAL
-2.5/-115
32% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+121
13% DAL
-143
87% GS

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
19% UN
235.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
27
Games
26
43.4
FG
40.0
89.0
FGA
89.0
.488
FG%
.449
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.5
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.377
3Pt%
.349
30.0
2Pt-FG
26.5
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.561
2Pt%
.525
18.4
FT
17.7
24.0
FTA
23.0
.767
FT%
.772
11.3
ORB
11.1
34.4
DRB
35.0
45.7
TRB
46.0
25.9
AST
26.7
8.4
STL
7.8
5.5
BLK
6.2
14.4
TOV
15.4
19.4
PF
17.9
118.6
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
27
Games
26
41.2
FG
41.5
90.9
FGA
92.2
.454
FG%
.450
13.4
3Pt-FG
15.4
37.4
3Pt-FGA
41.3
.358
3Pt%
.372
27.8
2Pt-FG
26.1
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.520
2Pt%
.514
16.9
FT
14.7
22.1
FTA
21.0
.765
FT%
.703
12.1
ORB
13.0
31.6
DRB
34.4
43.7
TRB
47.3
27.4
AST
29.0
8.4
STL
9.2
4.1
BLK
5.2
14.1
TOV
14.7
19.3
PF
20.0
112.7
PTS
113.1

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.563
eFG%
.524
12.6
TOV%
13.4
26.3
RB%
75.6
.207
FT/FGA
.199

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.527
eFG%
.534
12.3
TOV%
12.6
74.0
RB%
27.0
.186
FT/FGA
.160

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
27
Games
26
43.3
FG
39.7
88.9
FGA
88.4
.488
FG%
.449
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.4
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.377
3Pt%
.349
29.9
2Pt-FG
26.3
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.561
2Pt%
.525
18.4
FT
17.6
24.0
FTA
22.8
.767
FT%
.772
11.3
ORB
11.0
34.4
DRB
34.7
45.7
TRB
45.7
25.8
AST
26.5
8.4
STL
7.8
5.5
BLK
6.2
14.4
TOV
15.3
19.4
PF
17.8
118.5
PTS
110.4

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
27
Games
26
41.2
FG
41.2
90.8
FGA
91.5
.454
FG%
.450
13.4
3Pt-FG
15.3
37.4
3Pt-FGA
41.1
.358
3Pt%
.372
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.9
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.520
2Pt%
.514
16.9
FT
14.6
22.1
FTA
20.8
.765
FT%
.703
12.1
ORB
12.9
31.6
DRB
34.2
43.7
TRB
47.0
27.4
AST
28.8
8.4
STL
9.1
4.1
BLK
5.2
14.1
TOV
14.6
19.3
PF
19.8
112.7
PTS
112.4

DAL
Analytics
GS
18
Pythag Wins
15
9
Pythag Losses
11
5.81
Margin Of Victory
2.00
118.5
O Rtg
112.4
112.7
D Rtg
110.4
99.7
Pace
100.3
.270
FTr
.227
.399
3PAr
.449
.596
TS%
.558

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-134
+114
+121
-143
+120
-142
+120
-142
-148
+126
+120
-142
-134
+114
+123
-143
+110
-130
+122
-145
+110
-130
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-112)
235.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)