Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Center

Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
Over/Under:232
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 125, Golden State Warriors -145

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43%Dallas Mavericks - 45%
Golden State Warriors - 57%Golden State Warriors - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) will face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) in a Tuesday night showdown at the Chase Center, scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, riding high on a wave of momentum, enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of -3.0. Their recent form has been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a significant upset against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they defied a 6.5-point underdog status with a 127-116 victory.

In contrast, the Mavericks have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games. Their latest outing was a narrow 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks are not to be underestimated, carrying a moneyline of +125, which translates to an implied win probability of 43%.

The Warriors, with a moneyline of -145, hold a 57% implied probability of securing the win. Bettors looking for value might want to focus on player prop markets, specifically Klay Thompson's points and assists. This market has drawn significant attention, with the over 17.5 points and assists priced at -105, indicating a belief among sharp bettors that it might be undervalued.

As the Warriors look to extend their winning streak at home, the Mavericks aim to halt their recent skid. This matchup offers intriguing betting angles and promises to deliver an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. With both teams boasting star power and the potential for high-scoring affairs, fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining evening of basketball action.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 119.34 vs Golden State Warriors 120.97

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
68% DAL
-2.5/-115
32% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+121
13% DAL
-143
87% GS

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
19% UN
235.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
75
Games
74
42.2
FG
40.5
88.3
FGA
87.0
.478
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.1
34.7
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.367
3Pt%
.363
29.5
2Pt-FG
27.3
53.6
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.550
2Pt%
.537
17.8
FT
16.6
22.9
FTA
21.6
.777
FT%
.768
10.2
ORB
10.5
32.8
DRB
33.6
43.0
TRB
44.1
25.2
AST
26.0
7.9
STL
7.5
5.4
BLK
5.5
13.8
TOV
15.6
18.0
PF
18.4
115.0
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
75
Games
74
42.9
FG
40.9
91.4
FGA
90.7
.469
FG%
.450
12.7
3Pt-FG
15.3
35.2
3Pt-FGA
42.3
.362
3Pt%
.361
30.2
2Pt-FG
25.6
56.2
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.537
2Pt%
.528
16.6
FT
16.4
21.3
FTA
21.8
.779
FT%
.755
12.1
ORB
12.6
33.3
DRB
33.0
45.4
TRB
45.6
27.1
AST
29.1
7.9
STL
9.2
4.7
BLK
4.9
13.5
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
19.3
115.1
PTS
113.4

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.550
eFG%
.540
12.3
TOV%
13.9
23.4
RB%
75.8
.202
FT/FGA
.191

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.539
eFG%
.535
11.8
TOV%
12.2
73.1
RB%
27.2
.181
FT/FGA
.181

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
75
Games
74
42.4
FG
40.8
88.7
FGA
87.9
.478
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.9
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.367
3Pt%
.363
29.6
2Pt-FG
27.6
53.8
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.550
2Pt%
.537
17.9
FT
16.8
23.0
FTA
21.9
.777
FT%
.768
10.2
ORB
10.6
33.0
DRB
33.9
43.2
TRB
44.6
25.4
AST
26.3
7.9
STL
7.5
5.5
BLK
5.5
13.8
TOV
15.7
18.1
PF
18.6
115.5
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
75
Games
74
43.1
FG
41.3
91.8
FGA
91.6
.469
FG%
.450
12.8
3Pt-FG
15.4
35.4
3Pt-FGA
42.7
.362
3Pt%
.361
30.3
2Pt-FG
25.8
56.4
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.537
2Pt%
.528
16.7
FT
16.6
21.4
FTA
22.0
.779
FT%
.755
12.1
ORB
12.7
33.5
DRB
33.3
45.6
TRB
46.0
27.2
AST
29.4
7.9
STL
9.3
4.7
BLK
5.0
13.6
TOV
14.1
18.7
PF
19.5
115.6
PTS
114.5

DAL
Analytics
GS
37
Pythag Wins
43
38
Pythag Losses
31
-0.19
Margin Of Victory
2.76
115.5
O Rtg
114.5
115.6
D Rtg
111.7
99.3
Pace
98.9
.259
FTr
.240
.393
3PAr
.466
.584
TS%
.566

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-134
+114
+121
-143
+120
-142
+120
-142
-148
+126
+120
-142
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-112)
235.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)

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