Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 11/12/2024

  • Date: November 12, 2024
  • Venue: Chase Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
Over/Under: 232
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 125, Golden State Warriors -145

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43% Dallas Mavericks - 45%
Golden State Warriors - 57% Golden State Warriors - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) will face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) in a Tuesday night showdown at the Chase Center, scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, riding high on a wave of momentum, enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of -3.0. Their recent form has been impressive, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a significant upset against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where they defied a 6.5-point underdog status with a 127-116 victory.

In contrast, the Mavericks have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games. Their latest outing was a narrow 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks are not to be underestimated, carrying a moneyline of +125, which translates to an implied win probability of 43%.

The Warriors, with a moneyline of -145, hold a 57% implied probability of securing the win. Bettors looking for value might want to focus on player prop markets, specifically Klay Thompson's points and assists. This market has drawn significant attention, with the over 17.5 points and assists priced at -105, indicating a belief among sharp bettors that it might be undervalued.

As the Warriors look to extend their winning streak at home, the Mavericks aim to halt their recent skid. This matchup offers intriguing betting angles and promises to deliver an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. With both teams boasting star power and the potential for high-scoring affairs, fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining evening of basketball action.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 119.34 vs Golden State Warriors 120.97

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
68% DAL
-2.5/-115
32% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+121
13% DAL
-143
87% GS

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-108
19% UN
235.5/-112
81% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
11
Games
11
42.9
FG
39.6
89.9
FGA
90.4
.477
FG%
.439
12.5
3Pt-FG
12.1
36.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.346
3Pt%
.319
30.4
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.6
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.566
2Pt%
.525
16.0
FT
18.7
20.9
FTA
24.3
.765
FT%
.772
10.5
ORB
12.5
33.3
DRB
32.5
43.8
TRB
45.0
25.6
AST
25.0
7.5
STL
6.9
4.3
BLK
4.9
12.3
TOV
16.3
21.9
PF
19.1
114.4
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
11
Games
11
40.2
FG
44.3
88.6
FGA
92.5
.453
FG%
.478
12.6
3Pt-FG
16.1
37.0
3Pt-FGA
41.3
.342
3Pt%
.390
27.5
2Pt-FG
28.2
51.6
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.533
2Pt%
.550
18.0
FT
16.5
25.1
FTA
23.3
.717
FT%
.711
12.6
ORB
14.0
34.0
DRB
34.4
46.6
TRB
48.4
27.1
AST
30.1
6.5
STL
9.9
3.9
BLK
5.8
14.1
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
22.3
111.0
PTS
121.2

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.547
eFG%
.506
11.0
TOV%
13.9
23.7
RB%
73.3
.178
FT/FGA
.207

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
GS
.525
eFG%
.565
12.4
TOV%
11.9
72.5
RB%
30.1
.203
FT/FGA
.179

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
11
Games
11
43.5
FG
39.2
91.2
FGA
89.5
.477
FG%
.439
12.7
3Pt-FG
12.0
36.8
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.346
3Pt%
.319
30.8
2Pt-FG
27.3
54.4
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.566
2Pt%
.525
16.2
FT
18.5
21.2
FTA
24.0
.765
FT%
.772
10.7
ORB
12.4
33.8
DRB
32.1
44.5
TRB
44.5
26.0
AST
24.7
7.7
STL
6.8
4.3
BLK
4.9
12.5
TOV
16.1
22.2
PF
18.9
116.0
PTS
109.0

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
11
Games
11
40.8
FG
43.8
89.9
FGA
91.6
.453
FG%
.478
12.8
3Pt-FG
15.9
37.5
3Pt-FGA
40.9
.342
3Pt%
.390
27.9
2Pt-FG
27.9
52.4
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.533
2Pt%
.550
18.3
FT
16.4
25.5
FTA
23.0
.717
FT%
.711
12.8
ORB
13.9
34.5
DRB
34.0
47.3
TRB
47.9
27.5
AST
29.8
6.5
STL
9.8
4.0
BLK
5.8
14.3
TOV
13.8
18.4
PF
22.0
112.6
PTS
120.0

DAL
Analytics
GS
7
Pythag Wins
9
4
Pythag Losses
2
3.36
Margin Of Victory
11.09
116.0
O Rtg
120.0
112.6
D Rtg
109.0
98.6
Pace
100.1
.233
FTr
.251
.403
3PAr
.446
.577
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-114)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL GS
DAL GS
Consensus
-134
+114
+121
-143
+120
-142
+120
-142
-148
+126
+120
-142
-134
+114
+123
-143
+110
-130
+122
-145
+110
-130
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-112)
235.0 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
235.0 (-115)
235.0 (-105)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)