Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Jun 17, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
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  • Consensus
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Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics Game 5 Pick & Prediction – 6/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Details

  • Date: June 17, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden

Mavericks vs Celtics Game 5 Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 6.5 (-110), Boston Celtics -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 209.5
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 215, Boston Celtics -255

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 31% Dallas Mavericks - 58%
Boston Celtics - 69% Boston Celtics - 42%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics (79-21) are set to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (63-40) in Game 5 of the NBA Finals at TD Garden. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 8:30 PM ET, with the Celtics holding a 3-1 series lead and looking to close out the series and the NBA season as a whole.

Both teams enter this matchup well-rested, with their last games taking place three days ago. This extra time off could benefit both teams, allowing their players to recover and perform at their best.

The Mavericks, who have been performing well recently, have won 33 of their last 50 games. However, they face a disadvantage in this game as they are far from home and have traveled cross-country for this road game. The longer road trip might impact their performance and could potentially hinder their chances of securing a victory.

On the other hand, the Celtics have been dominant at home, winning 44 of their last 50 games at TD Garden. As the home team, they enjoy the advantage of playing in familiar surroundings, which boosts their confidence and increases their chances of success.

The Celtics are considered heavy favorites in this matchup, reflected by the spread currently being Celtics -7.0. The Moneyline odds for the Celtics stand at -285, while the Mavericks' Moneyline odds are at +240. Based on these odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 28%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 72%.

It's worth noting that the Mavericks had a convincing victory over the Celtics in their last meeting, winning by a staggering 38-point margin (122-84). This result could add an extra layer of motivation for the Celtics to seek redemption and prove themselves on their home court.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 106 vs Boston Celtics 103.04

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-105
57% DAL
-6.5/-115
43% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+220
15% DAL
-274
85% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

211.0/-108
23% UN
211.0/-112
77% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
2
Games
3
39.5
FG
42.3
97.5
FGA
87.0
.405
FG%
.487
16.0
3Pt-FG
10.7
42.5
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.376
3Pt%
.305
23.5
2Pt-FG
31.7
55.0
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.427
2Pt%
.609
16.0
FT
14.3
20.5
FTA
18.7
.780
FT%
.768
14.5
ORB
8.0
33.5
DRB
31.3
48.0
TRB
39.3
24.5
AST
24.7
7.5
STL
5.0
3.5
BLK
5.3
9.5
TOV
14.0
24.5
PF
17.7
111.0
PTS
109.7

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
2
Games
3
37.5
FG
42.7
83.0
FGA
91.7
.452
FG%
.465
13.0
3Pt-FG
22.7
37.5
3Pt-FGA
51.3
.347
3Pt%
.442
24.5
2Pt-FG
20.0
45.5
2Pt-FGA
40.3
.538
2Pt%
.496
23.5
FT
18.0
30.5
FTA
21.7
.770
FT%
.831
9.5
ORB
12.0
40.0
DRB
30.0
49.5
TRB
42.0
28.0
AST
24.3
4.5
STL
7.7
4.5
BLK
4.0
15.0
TOV
9.3
17.5
PF
16.7
111.5
PTS
126.0

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.487
eFG%
.548
8.2
TOV%
12.8
26.6
RB%
78.9
.164
FT/FGA
.165

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.530
eFG%
.589
13.5
TOV%
8.4
77.9
RB%
27.7
.283
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
2
Games
3
39.9
FG
43.7
98.4
FGA
89.9
.405
FG%
.487
16.2
3Pt-FG
11.0
42.9
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.376
3Pt%
.305
23.7
2Pt-FG
32.7
55.5
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.427
2Pt%
.609
16.2
FT
14.8
20.7
FTA
19.3
.780
FT%
.768
14.6
ORB
8.3
33.8
DRB
32.4
48.5
TRB
40.6
24.7
AST
25.5
7.6
STL
5.2
3.5
BLK
5.5
9.6
TOV
14.5
24.7
PF
18.3
112.0
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
2
Games
3
37.9
FG
44.1
83.8
FGA
94.7
.452
FG%
.465
13.1
3Pt-FG
23.4
37.9
3Pt-FGA
53.0
.347
3Pt%
.442
24.7
2Pt-FG
20.7
45.9
2Pt-FGA
41.7
.538
2Pt%
.496
23.7
FT
18.6
30.8
FTA
22.4
.770
FT%
.831
9.6
ORB
12.4
40.4
DRB
31.0
50.0
TRB
43.4
28.3
AST
25.1
4.5
STL
7.9
4.5
BLK
4.1
15.1
TOV
9.6
17.7
PF
17.2
112.6
PTS
130.2

DAL
Analytics
BOS
1
Pythag Wins
3
1
Pythag Losses
0
-0.50
Margin Of Victory
16.33
112.0
O Rtg
130.2
112.6
D Rtg
113.3
99.1
Pace
96.8
.210
FTr
.236
.436
3PAr
.560
.521
TS%
.623

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-109)
-7.0 (-109)
+6.5 (-109)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+230
-285
+220
-274
+230
-285
+225
-278
+215
-260
+215
-260
+230
-286
+215
-265
+250
-320
+235
-292
+240
-300
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-109)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-112)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-112)
210.5 (-108)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.5 (-105)
211.5 (-115)