Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 28, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction – 4/28/2025

On April 28, 2025, the Cleveland Cavaliers will face off against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. Cleveland holds a 3-0 lead in the series. The Cavaliers, boasting an impressive 67-18 record, are heavy favorites heading into this matchup, with a spread of Cavaliers -8.5 and a moneyline of -380. Miami, with a record of 39-48, comes in with an implied win probability of just 24%, compared to Cleveland's 76%.

Cleveland enters this game riding a strong wave of momentum, having won 36 of their last 50 games, including a dominant 124-87 victory over the Heat in their last encounter. On the other hand, Miami is struggling, having lost three consecutive games. This matchup highlights the stark contrast in both teams' current form.

For those interested in player prop betting, Donovan Mitchell's points and rebounds market has garnered significant attention. The most popular line is set at Over 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, suggesting that many believe this line is mispriced and holds value.

With Cleveland's recent success and the Heat's struggles, this game presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors. Fans and analysts alike will be keenly watching to see if the Cavaliers can maintain their high level of play or if Miami can find a spark to turn their fortunes around. This game promises to be critical for both teams for different reasons, making it one not to miss.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 111.76, Miami Heat 102.46

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Cavaliers76%76%
Heat24%24%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.5/-110
70% CLE
+8.5/-110
30% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-375
84% CLE
+295
16% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-110
10% UN
209.5/-110
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
41.3
90.8
FGA
88.6
.491
FG%
.466
15.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
41.5
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.383
3Pt%
.360
28.6
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.3
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.581
2Pt%
.545
17.0
FT
13.9
21.9
FTA
17.9
.776
FT%
.776
11.2
ORB
10.7
34.2
DRB
33.9
45.4
TRB
44.7
28.1
AST
26.5
8.2
STL
7.5
4.3
BLK
4.7
13.2
TOV
13.8
18.1
PF
17.0
121.9
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
40.5
90.9
FGA
87.0
.454
FG%
.465
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.5
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.359
3Pt%
.367
27.8
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.4
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.520
2Pt%
.538
16.5
FT
16.0
21.1
FTA
20.2
.779
FT%
.791
11.5
ORB
9.7
32.0
DRB
33.7
43.5
TRB
43.4
25.6
AST
26.4
7.8
STL
8.1
4.4
BLK
3.8
14.5
TOV
13.6
18.9
PF
15.5
112.4
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.578
eFG%
.543
11.6
TOV%
12.5
25.9
RB%
75.8
.187
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.528
eFG%
.544
12.6
TOV%
12.4
74.8
RB%
22.3
.181
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
42.3
90.6
FGA
90.9
.491
FG%
.466
15.9
3Pt-FG
14.0
41.4
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.383
3Pt%
.360
28.6
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.2
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.581
2Pt%
.545
16.9
FT
14.3
21.8
FTA
18.4
.776
FT%
.776
11.2
ORB
11.0
34.2
DRB
34.8
45.3
TRB
45.8
28.0
AST
27.2
8.2
STL
7.7
4.3
BLK
4.8
13.2
TOV
14.2
18.1
PF
17.4
121.7
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
41.5
90.7
FGA
89.3
.454
FG%
.465
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.1
37.4
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.359
3Pt%
.367
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.3
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.520
2Pt%
.538
16.4
FT
16.4
21.1
FTA
20.7
.779
FT%
.791
11.5
ORB
10.0
31.9
DRB
34.5
43.5
TRB
44.5
25.6
AST
27.1
7.8
STL
8.4
4.4
BLK
3.9
14.5
TOV
13.9
18.9
PF
16.0
112.2
PTS
113.5

CLE
Analytics
MIA
62
Pythag Wins
42
20
Pythag Losses
40
9.54
Margin Of Victory
0.56
121.7
O Rtg
113.5
112.2
D Rtg
112.9
99.8
Pace
96.2
.241
FTr
.232
.457
3PAr
.429
.607
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-9.0 (-111)
+9.0 (-112)
-8.5 (-111)
+8.5 (-109)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.0 (-112)
+9.0 (-115)
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-108)
-9.0 (-107)
+9.0 (-112)
-9.0 (-107)
+9.0 (-114)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-118)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-408
+313
-378
+300
-380
+310
-375
+295
-390
+310
-400
+315
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-105)
210.5 (-115)

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