Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 3 Pick – 4/26/2025

On April 26, 2025, the Cleveland Cavaliers (66-18) will face off against the Miami Heat (39-47) in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series at Kaseya Center, with tip-off scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. This matchup comes following a short three-day break for both teams, providing an opportunity for rest that could be beneficial for player performance. Cleveland holds a 2-0 series lead heading into this matchup from Miami.

Cleveland enters the contest as a favorite, holding a spread of -5.5. The Cavaliers have demonstrated strong play down the stretch, winning 36 of their last 50 games. Their recent form includes a victory against the Heat, where they topped Miami 121-112 just a few days ago. With an implied win probability of 65%, the Cavaliers are expected to capitalize on their momentum and superior season record.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat have struggled recently, losing 30 of their last 50 games. Despite this, the Heat will look to leverage home-court advantage and the extra days for rest in hopes of turning their season around. Their Moneyline stands at +180, giving them a 35% implied probability of pulling off an upset.

For those looking at individual player performances, Evan Mobley’s Points, Rebounds, and Assists market is drawing attention, particularly with the over/under set at 29.5 (-115). Sharp bettors seem to think this line is mispriced, indicating a potential value in taking the over.

With the Cavaliers' current form and favorable matchup odds, they will be the team to watch as they aim to continue their winning ways against a Heat squad seeking redemption at home.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 115.32, Miami Heat 113.39

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 3 Win Probabilities

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