Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks

Mar 27, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/27/2025


The Atlanta Hawks (35-37) face off against the Miami Heat (31-41) on March 27, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET in the Kaseya Center. This matchup is significant as both teams are divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of motivation for a victory.

Miami enters the game as a slight favorite, with a spread of Heat -1.5 and a moneyline of -120. The Hawks, on the other hand, are listed at +100 on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 48%. The Heat's implied win probability stands at 52%.

Both teams have struggled recently, with the Hawks losing 22 of their last 40 games. In their most recent outing, Atlanta fell to the Houston Rockets 121-114. Conversely, the Heat managed to secure a win against the Golden State Warriors, triumphing 112-86 as 4.5-point underdogs, a surprising result given their 37% chance of winning that game.

For bettors looking at player prop markets, Kel'el Ware's Points and Rebounds have emerged as a popular betting option. Initially set at Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), the prop has since shifted to Under 20.5 (-125), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under.

As the Hawks and Heat prepare to clash, fans and bettors alike will be keenly watching how this rivalry unfolds, especially given the stakes for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in a competitive landscape.


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Hawks 109.11 vs Miami Heat 118.09


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hawks48%25%
Heat52%75%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-105
52% ATL
-1.0/-115
48% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+102
36% ATL
-121
64% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-112
11% UN
224.5/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
73
Games
73
43.1
FG
41.4
91.9
FGA
88.8
.469
FG%
.466
13.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.3
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.356
3Pt%
.360
29.8
2Pt-FG
27.7
54.6
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.547
2Pt%
.546
18.0
FT
13.9
23.2
FTA
17.8
.774
FT%
.781
11.9
ORB
10.9
32.6
DRB
34.0
44.5
TRB
44.8
29.4
AST
26.5
9.8
STL
7.6
5.2
BLK
4.7
15.6
TOV
13.7
18.9
PF
17.1
117.5
PTS
110.3

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
73
Games
73
43.6
FG
39.8
90.4
FGA
86.2
.482
FG%
.462
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.8
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.374
3Pt%
.364
29.5
2Pt-FG
26.2
52.6
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.559
2Pt%
.537
18.1
FT
16.2
22.4
FTA
20.4
.808
FT%
.792
10.3
ORB
9.4
33.6
DRB
33.4
43.9
TRB
42.8
28.3
AST
26.2
9.2
STL
8.0
4.9
BLK
3.8
16.2
TOV
13.9
19.2
PF
15.6
119.4
PTS
109.4

Offense/Defense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.542
eFG%
.543
13.3
TOV%
12.4
26.1
RB%
75.5
.195
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.560
eFG%
.541
13.9
TOV%
12.8
75.9
RB%
21.6
.200
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
73
Games
73
41.7
FG
42.5
88.9
FGA
91.2
.469
FG%
.466
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.1
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.356
3Pt%
.360
28.9
2Pt-FG
28.4
52.8
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.547
2Pt%
.546
17.4
FT
14.3
22.5
FTA
18.3
.774
FT%
.781
11.5
ORB
11.2
31.5
DRB
34.9
43.0
TRB
46.1
28.5
AST
27.2
9.5
STL
7.8
5.1
BLK
4.8
15.1
TOV
14.1
18.3
PF
17.5
113.7
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
73
Games
73
42.2
FG
40.9
87.5
FGA
88.5
.482
FG%
.462
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.5
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.374
3Pt%
.364
28.5
2Pt-FG
26.9
50.9
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.559
2Pt%
.537
17.5
FT
16.6
21.7
FTA
21.0
.808
FT%
.792
10.0
ORB
9.6
32.5
DRB
34.4
42.5
TRB
44.0
27.4
AST
26.9
8.9
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
3.9
15.7
TOV
14.3
18.6
PF
16.0
115.5
PTS
112.4

ATL
Analytics
MIA
32
Pythag Wins
34
41
Pythag Losses
39
-1.89
Margin Of Victory
-0.93
113.7
O Rtg
112.4
115.5
D Rtg
113.3
102.8
Pace
96.1
.253
FTr
.237
.406
3PAr
.434
.575
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-106)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-106)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-106)
-1.0 (-114)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
-105
-115
+102
-121
-105
-115
-102
-118
-102
-116
+102
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
224.5 (-108)
224.5 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.0 (-115)
225.0 (-105)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)

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