Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks

Feb 26, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 2/26/2025


The Atlanta Hawks (27-31) face off against the Miami Heat (26-30) in a pivotal matchup on February 26, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash between two divisional rivals carries extra significance, as both teams are looking to gain an edge in their competitive standings.

The Heat enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of Heat -2.5 and a moneyline of -140, giving them an implied win probability of 56%. Meanwhile, the Hawks, with a moneyline of +120, have an implied win probability of 44%. Both teams have been struggling recently, each losing 16 of their last 25 games. This context adds to the intensity of the rivalry, as both squads are desperate for a win to turn their seasons around.

In their last encounter, the Hawks emerged victorious, defeating the Heat 98-86. This recent victory could provide the Hawks with a psychological advantage, while the Heat will be eager to avenge that loss on their home court at Kaseya Center.

For those interested in player props, Trae Young's Points and Assists market has garnered attention, as it is the most popular betting option for this game. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under for Young, with the current line set at Under 37.5 Points and Assists (-110). Many believe this line is mispriced, suggesting it could present value for those looking to wager.


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Hawks 112.95 vs Miami Heat 123.33


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hawks45%21%
Heat55%79%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-110
52% ATL
BetRivers
-2.5/-110
48% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+120
42% ATL
BetMGM
-142
58% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

232.0/-110
46% UN
Fanatics
232.0/-110
54% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
58
Games
56
42.5
FG
41.4
92.0
FGA
89.6
.462
FG%
.462
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.349
3Pt%
.357
29.4
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.5
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.540
2Pt%
.541
18.6
FT
14.2
24.2
FTA
18.1
.769
FT%
.784
11.9
ORB
11.1
33.2
DRB
34.6
45.1
TRB
45.7
29.3
AST
26.8
10.0
STL
7.5
5.2
BLK
4.9
15.9
TOV
13.6
18.9
PF
17.8
116.7
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
58
Games
56
43.5
FG
39.4
90.7
FGA
87.1
.480
FG%
.453
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.1
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.367
3Pt%
.356
29.5
2Pt-FG
25.7
52.6
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.562
2Pt%
.530
17.9
FT
17.0
22.3
FTA
21.5
.803
FT%
.793
10.4
ORB
9.8
34.3
DRB
34.3
44.7
TRB
44.1
28.2
AST
25.9
9.4
STL
7.9
5.2
BLK
3.8
16.5
TOV
13.7
20.0
PF
15.9
119.0
PTS
109.7

Offense/Defense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.533
eFG%
.538
13.4
TOV%
12.2
25.8
RB%
75.6
.202
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.557
eFG%
.532
14.1
TOV%
12.4
76.2
RB%
22.1
.198
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
58
Games
56
40.9
FG
42.2
88.4
FGA
91.4
.462
FG%
.462
12.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.0
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.349
3Pt%
.357
28.3
2Pt-FG
28.2
52.4
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.540
2Pt%
.541
17.9
FT
14.5
23.3
FTA
18.5
.769
FT%
.784
11.5
ORB
11.3
31.9
DRB
35.3
43.3
TRB
46.6
28.1
AST
27.4
9.6
STL
7.6
5.0
BLK
5.0
15.3
TOV
13.9
18.2
PF
18.1
112.2
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
58
Games
56
41.9
FG
40.2
87.2
FGA
88.9
.480
FG%
.453
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.6
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.367
3Pt%
.356
28.4
2Pt-FG
26.2
50.6
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.562
2Pt%
.530
17.2
FT
17.4
21.4
FTA
21.9
.803
FT%
.793
10.0
ORB
10.0
33.0
DRB
35.0
42.9
TRB
45.0
27.1
AST
26.4
9.0
STL
8.0
5.0
BLK
3.9
15.9
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
16.2
114.4
PTS
111.9

ATL
Analytics
MIA
25
Pythag Wins
26
33
Pythag Losses
30
-2.28
Margin Of Victory
-1.00
112.2
O Rtg
111.9
114.4
D Rtg
113.0
103.3
Pace
96.5
.263
FTr
.247
.407
3PAr
.444
.569
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
-110
-110
+117
-139
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-110
-110
+120
-142
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+106
-124
+120
-142
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-103
-117
+115
-136
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-110
-110
+122
-145
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-105
-115
+118
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
229.0 (-109)
229.0 (-112)
230.5 (-109)
230.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
230.5 (-115)
230.5 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
ATL
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
1-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-2-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
116.33
Avg Score
106.33
116
Avg Opp Score
109.67
2-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-4-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
1-3-1
121.8
Avg Score
106.6
120.6
Avg Opp Score
112.4
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-7-0
8-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-7-1
123.3
Avg Score
104.1
121.2
Avg Opp Score
110.4
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/24/25
MIA
231.5
+112
22
ATL
-2.0
-132
23
12/28/24
MIA
227.5
-110
28
ATL
-1.0
-107
35
04/09/24
MIA
217.5
-161
30
ATL
3.5
+134
27
01/19/24
ATL
221.5
+235
32
MIA
-7.0
-296
24
12/22/23
ATL
238.5
-102
26
MIA
-1.5
-118
33
11/11/23
MIA
227.5
+244
41
ATL
-7.5
-310
24
04/11/23
ATL
227.5
+175
36
MIA
-5.0
-213
27
03/06/23
ATL
230.5
+115
43
MIA
-2.5
-138
30
03/04/23
ATL
226.5
+122
26
MIA
-3.0
-147
29
01/16/23
MIA
222.5
-106
26
ATL
-1.0
-114
38

Atlanta Hawks

02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
DET
95.6
-52
13
ATL
0.3
+44
12
02/20/25
ORL
233.4
-125
22
ATL
1.1
+105
35
02/10/25
ATL
322.9
+282
37
ORL
-8.8
-339
32
02/08/25
ATL
385.2
-431
42
WAS
11.3
+359
48
02/07/25
MIL
133.8
-77
15
ATL
0.8
+65
20
02/05/25
SA
120.5
-89
17
ATL
1.1
+75
12
02/03/25
ATL
164.5
+109
24
DET
-3.1
-129
24
02/01/25
ATL
152.8
+201
15
IND
-6.0
-254
25
01/30/25
ATL
355.0
+642
43
CLE
-16.9
-868
57

Miami Heat

02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4
02/13/25
MIA
176.6
-119
18
DAL
2.0
+101
17
02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
BOS
309.0
-473
26
MIA
12.4
+383
35
02/07/25
MIA
117.7
-112
15
BKN
1.6
+95
16
02/05/25
MIA
109.1
+54
14
PHI
-1.0
-64
12
02/04/25
MIA
276.7
-194
45
CHI
5.1
+163
39
02/01/25
MIA
140.5
-93
21
SA
1.2
+79
21
01/29/25
CLE
256.5
-256
35
MIA
7.8
+214
24

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