Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks

Feb 26, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 2/26/2025


The Atlanta Hawks (27-31) face off against the Miami Heat (26-30) in a pivotal matchup on February 26, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash between two divisional rivals carries extra significance, as both teams are looking to gain an edge in their competitive standings.

The Heat enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of Heat -2.5 and a moneyline of -140, giving them an implied win probability of 56%. Meanwhile, the Hawks, with a moneyline of +120, have an implied win probability of 44%. Both teams have been struggling recently, each losing 16 of their last 25 games. This context adds to the intensity of the rivalry, as both squads are desperate for a win to turn their seasons around.

In their last encounter, the Hawks emerged victorious, defeating the Heat 98-86. This recent victory could provide the Hawks with a psychological advantage, while the Heat will be eager to avenge that loss on their home court at Kaseya Center.

For those interested in player props, Trae Young's Points and Assists market has garnered attention, as it is the most popular betting option for this game. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under for Young, with the current line set at Under 37.5 Points and Assists (-110). Many believe this line is mispriced, suggesting it could present value for those looking to wager.


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Hawks 112.95 vs Miami Heat 123.33


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hawks45%21%
Heat55%79%

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-112
55% ATL
-3.0/-108
45% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+125
43% ATL
-149
57% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-110
43% UN
229.5/-110
57% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.4
FG
41.3
91.8
FGA
88.6
.472
FG%
.466
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.358
3Pt%
.360
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.1
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.552
2Pt%
.545
18.0
FT
13.9
23.2
FTA
17.9
.775
FT%
.776
11.9
ORB
10.7
32.6
DRB
33.9
44.5
TRB
44.7
29.6
AST
26.5
9.7
STL
7.5
5.1
BLK
4.7
15.5
TOV
13.8
19.1
PF
17.0
118.2
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.4
FG
40.5
90.2
FGA
87.0
.481
FG%
.465
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.8
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.377
3Pt%
.367
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.8
52.4
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.557
2Pt%
.538
18.2
FT
16.0
22.7
FTA
20.2
.802
FT%
.791
10.3
ORB
9.7
33.4
DRB
33.7
43.7
TRB
43.4
28.2
AST
26.4
9.2
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
3.8
16.0
TOV
13.6
19.1
PF
15.5
119.3
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.546
eFG%
.543
13.2
TOV%
12.5
26.3
RB%
75.8
.196
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.560
eFG%
.544
13.8
TOV%
12.4
76.0
RB%
22.3
.202
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
42.3
89.0
FGA
90.9
.472
FG%
.466
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.5
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.358
3Pt%
.360
29.0
2Pt-FG
28.3
52.5
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.552
2Pt%
.545
17.4
FT
14.3
22.5
FTA
18.4
.775
FT%
.776
11.5
ORB
11.0
31.6
DRB
34.8
43.1
TRB
45.8
28.7
AST
27.2
9.4
STL
7.7
5.0
BLK
4.8
15.1
TOV
14.2
18.5
PF
17.4
114.6
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.1
FG
41.5
87.5
FGA
89.3
.481
FG%
.465
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.377
3Pt%
.367
28.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.8
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.557
2Pt%
.538
17.6
FT
16.4
22.0
FTA
20.7
.802
FT%
.791
10.0
ORB
10.0
32.3
DRB
34.5
42.3
TRB
44.5
27.4
AST
27.1
8.9
STL
8.4
4.8
BLK
3.9
15.5
TOV
13.9
18.5
PF
16.0
115.7
PTS
113.5

ATL
Analytics
MIA
38
Pythag Wins
42
44
Pythag Losses
40
-1.13
Margin Of Victory
0.56
114.6
O Rtg
113.5
115.7
D Rtg
112.9
102.6
Pace
96.2
.252
FTr
.232
.410
3PAr
.429
.579
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-105)
-3.0 (-115)
+1.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
-110
-110
+125
-149
-110
-110
+130
-155
+106
-124
+132
-156
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-111)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-108)
229.0 (-109)
229.0 (-112)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-105)
229.5 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home NBA Picks Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 2/26/2025