It is Kyle Larson’s world and the rest of the NASCAR Cup Series is just living in it. Larson took down a cool million in Texas during the NASCAR All-Star Race. It was the third straight win for Larson and he’s favored to get a fourth this week as the Cup Series heads to the Nashville Superspeedway for the first time ever.
DraftKings Sportsbook has odds up for the Ally 400, which will take place on Sunday June 20 at 3:30 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network. This will be the first race held at Nashville Superspeedway since 2011 and the first Cup Series race after a decade’s worth of Xfinity Series and Truck Series races on the track prior to its closure.
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Ally 400 NASCAR Betting Odds
Kyle Larson is the +300 favorite and he’s running so good right now that he’s actually -112 to finish in the top three on Sunday. Larson has finished in the top three in five straight races, including wins in the last two, and also the All-Star Race, so he’s been dominant of late.
The only race Larson didn’t win over the last three events was the rain-soaked EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas. That was won by Chase Elliott, the third choice on the board at +700.
Martin Truex Jr., who has struggled a bit lately, is the second favorite at +600. He was third at Sonoma two weeks ago after finishing outside the top 18 in the previous three races. He won his third race of the season at Darlington back on May 9.
Other hopefuls include Denny Hamlin at +850, Kyle Busch at +900, and then a quartet of drivers at +1200 with William Byron, Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski, and Joey Logano. Ryan Blaney and Alex Bowman are +1400 and nobody else is under +4000.
Nashville Superspeedway Scouting Report
The 1.333-mile tri-oval in Lebanon, TN was a twice-a-year stop for both the NASCAR Busch Series and NASCAR Nationwide Series, which are now known as the Xfinity Series. The Camping World Truck Series/Craftsman Truck Series also ran there once a year from 2001-2010 before running there twice in 2010 and 2011.
The older Cup Series drivers did run there in the Nationwide Series, as guys like Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, and Joey Logano picked up wins there. The young guns really have not.
NASCAR has used the track as a test site for tires and engines and new body models over the last several years. This is the largest concrete track in NASCAR. If you’re looking for a comp, the Monster Mile at Dover is a good one, as the tracks are both owned by Dover Motorsports and are both concrete instead of asphalt.
Handicapping the Ally 400
This is a new track for some drivers and not quite 1.5 miles in length, but it is a pretty traditional oval setup. You want to look for guys that are running well on ovals of various lengths this season, like a William Byron, who has picked up a top-10 finish on 12 straight ovals.
Naturally Kyle Larson has been running extremely well on ovals. He’s had some issues in the quirky races, like the Bristol dirt race, Talladega, and the Daytona road course, but he’s consistently run well on the traditional ovals. He won two stages and led the most laps at Dover earlier this year. That was race was won by Alex Bowman.
Chase Elliott has been running extremely good of late, with five top-five finishes in his last six races. He ran third at Dover.
Frankly, Chevy has been running very well of late. The sport was dominated by Toyota for a long time and then Ford closed the gap while Chevy was on the outside looking in, but Elliott and the return of Larson have really given Chevy a lot to be excited about.
Outside of Chevy, Denny Hamlin won last year at Dover and Martin Truex Jr. also has a recent Dover win.
Ally 400 Picks
At this point, can you leave Kyle Larson off at +300? Sure, the odds aren’t great, but he’s been the best driver of late and certainly one of the best on oval tracks.
Chase Elliott at +700 is a good look at well. He is locked into a nice groove and he’s going to get a more legitimate win here in the near future.
Those look like the two best bets on the board for this week.