UFC 266 brings us a great card typical of International Fight Week. We get two title fights to cap off the night, but the card is incredibly well made from top to bottom.
Volkanovski vs Ortega Main Event Betting Preview
In the main event, we will see Brian Ortega get his second crack at featherweight gold. He of course fights the champion Alexander Volkanovski. Volkanovski sits as a -175 favorite. This fight is close to lined correctly, without much value to be had. If you pushed me for a value I’d have to say Ortega, who is the more powerful striker and superior submission artist. That said, Volkanovski will be the busier striker, add up more volume and likely put Ortega in a spot where it is finish or bust. I don’t believe Ortega gets busted up the way he did in the Max Holloway fight, but it is also not a spot where we have a great wager. If you pushed me for a value bet, it would be Ortega ITD at +275.
Shevchenko vs Murphy Co-Main Event Betting Preview
As I rack my brain and thinking of past title challengers, regardless of weight class, I cannot recall one less deserving than Lauren Murphy. She is on a five fight win streak, but that comes with massive asterisks. She was the beneficiary of two egregious judging calls in her fights against Jojo Calderwood and Andrea Lee. The other three wins were against fighters that, well, wins against them should not remotely earn title shots. Even with that being the case, here we are. She now steps in the cage to face -1500 favorite Valentina Shevchenko. It’s sad to say but the line is accurate. Shevchenko truly outclasses what is maybe the eight to tenth best fighter in the division, and will have another effortless win and title defense. Of course we are not laying -1500 on anyone in any situation. That leaves our betting options thin. We have to look to the ITD line for Shevchenko, which is a much friendlier -120. If throwing a wager on this fight, that’s the way to go.
UFC 266 Betting Picks
We have four official betting picks for the UFC 266 card. Unfortunately none of those fell on the main event or co-main event, but we do still have high end fighters to bet on. We also have three plus figure ITD plays that brings a great deal of value over the respective flat lines.
Click the links below to read our bets and analyses.
Curtis Blaydes vs Jair Rozenstruick Prediction
Jessica Andrade vs Cynthia Calvillo Prediction
Dan Hooker vs Nasrat Haqparast Prediction
Taila Santos vs Roxanne Modafferi Prediction
Other Fight Predictions
Robbie Lawler via KO over Nick Diaz
Merab Dvalishvilli via decision over Marlon Moraes
Chris Daukaus via KO over Shamil Abdurakhimov
Jalin Turner via KO over Uros Medic
Nick Maximov via submission over Cody Brundage
Matthew Semelsberger via KO over Martin Sano
Jonathan Pearce via KO over Omar Morales