Thiago Moises vs Christos Giagos Fight Odds
Thiago Moises -250 vs Christos Giagos
Fight is at 155 lbs and is -120 to end inside the distance
Thiago Moises is on a two fight losing streak, but it is a fully understandable one. In fact, if this fight were booked prior to his last two fights, I fully believe we would be looking at -500 favorite or greater.
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Moises started his UFC tenure with a win and two losses. It should be noted those losses came against Beneil Dariush and Damir Ismagulov. These are high end fighters and both will regularly beat top ten fighters in the division. He followed that up with three straight impressive wins. He submitted Michael Johnson and followed that up with wins over Bobby Green and Alexander Hernandez. That earned him a main event against Islam Makhachev. Moises lost, as expected, but again, no shame in that loss. The next loss to Joel Alvarez was a bit more concerning, but now the level of competition is taking a significant drop.
Christos Giagos is a wrestler who is currently in his second stint in the UFC. He does not offer much danger in the stand up, and his game is taking fights down. Sadly for him, there are two reasons his skill set bring him a stylistic nightmare in this matchup. The first is that Moises is a phenomenal grappler. The largest advantage either fighter has in this fight is Moises on the mat, even in bottom position. Giagos simply implementing his normal game plan will put him squarely in the danger zone and in a prime spot to be submitted. The other problem Giagos will face is that his gas tank seemingly always fails. Simply one momentary lapse of energy, and Moises will snatch up a submission before he can blink. That is problematic because once the gas tank goes for Giagos, it is gone.
What To Bet
Moises is simply levels above as a fighter, and is being fed this matchup to get him back in the win column. I feel the drop in level of competition is excessive and -250 feels like a gift.
Betting Pick: Moises -250
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