On Saturday, March 29, 2025, the UFC returns to Mexico City Arena for an electrifying Fight Night event. Among the anticipated matchups is a compelling flyweight bout between Mexico’s own Ronaldo “Lazy Boy” Rodríguez and Peru’s Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas. This contest promises to deliver high-octane action as both fighters aim to ascend the flyweight rankings. Here, we make our prediction for Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas from South of the Border.
Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Preview
Ronaldo Rodríguez, affectionately known as “Lazy Boy,” has been making waves in the flyweight division. At 25 years old, Rodríguez boasts a professional record of 17-2 that reflects his prowess inside the Octagon. Standing at 168 cm with a reach of 165 cm, he utilizes his physical attributes effectively, combining technical striking with a solid ground game. Rodríguez’s recent unanimous decision victory over Ode Osbourne at UFC 306 showcased his resilience and ability to adapt under pressure and moved him to 2-0 on the UFC roster.
On the other side, Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas, also 25, hails from Peru and enters this bout with a professional record of 9-3 that is indicative of his competitive spirit. Standing slightly shorter at 165 cm with an identical reach of 165 cm, Borjas is known for his aggressive striking and tenacity. Despite facing setbacks, including two straight losses followed by a withdrawal from a scheduled fight against Edgar Cháirez in September 2024, Borjas remains a formidable opponent eager to make his mark in the flyweight division.
Betting Insights
As the fight approaches, Sportzino has released the following odds:
- Ronaldo Rodríguez: -172
- Kevin Borjas: +137
These odds suggest that Rodríguez is the favorite, with an implied win probability of approximately 64%, while Borjas, as the underdog, has an implied win probability of around 40%.
For bettors considering prop bets, the over/under for total rounds is set at 2.5:
- Over 2.5 rounds: -200
- Under 2.5 rounds: +150
This indicates that oddsmakers anticipate the fight is likely to go the distance, favoring a longer bout.
Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Prediction
Ronaldo Rodriguez (-172) over Kevin Borjas
220K Gold Coins & 10 FREE Sweeps Coins
- Rodriguez has won two straight fights to start his time on the UFC roster.
- Borjas has dropped two fights in a row and he could be on his way out of UFC with a loss here.
Analyzing the available data, several factors come into play. Rodríguez’s recent performances demonstrate his ability to endure and strategize effectively against diverse opponents. His victory over Osbourne highlighted his capacity to control the pace and adapt his game plan mid-fight.
Borjas, while possessing commendable striking abilities and a relentless approach, has faced challenges that may impact his readiness. His withdrawal from a previous bout raises questions about his consistency and ability to perform under the UFC spotlight.
Considering these elements, our prediction leans towards Ronaldo Rodríguez securing a victory, likely by decision. His technical proficiency, combined with the advantage of competing in his home country, positions him favorably. Borjas’s aggressive style may test Rodríguez, but “Lazy Boy’s” adaptability and composure are expected to prevail over the course of three rounds.
For bettors, wagering on Rodríguez to win by decision aligns with the anticipated fight dynamics and current odds. Additionally, considering the over 2.5 rounds prop bet could be prudent, given both fighters’ tendencies to engage in prolonged bouts.
As always, while informed analysis can guide betting decisions, the unpredictable nature of mixed martial arts means outcomes can defy expectations. Bettors should weigh all factors carefully and consider their risk tolerance before placing wagers.
