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UFC Picks, Predictions & Betting News

Norma Dumont vs Macy Chiasson Pick & Prediction – UFC 274

May 5th, 2022 By: TJ Calkins

Norma Dumont vs Macy Chiasson Fight Odds

Norma Dumont -225 vs Macy Chiasson

Fight is at 145 lbs and is +165 to end inside the distance.

Macy Chiasson will move up to featherweight for the first time since her time on The Ultimate Fighter 28. Since then, Chiasson fought six fights at bantamweight, going 4-2. The record speaks more favorably of the performance however, as there were some matchups with a low degree of difficulty. When being matched with anyone resembling a step up in competition, Chiasson has had real problems.

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Norma Dumont is a natural featherweight with a complete skill set that will give her a lot of advantages in this fight. She will be the stronger and thicker fighter, but the price of that will be a reach disadvantage. Chiasson will have 4” of height and 5” of reach. While those figures are significant, Chiasson will not be able to dictate how this fight takes place against Dumont.

Dumont is the more powerful of the two fighters, and she knows how to dictate the pace of a fight and how it plays out. That was never more evident than in her most recent win against Aspen Ladd. She will attack at all three levels and does very good work in the clinch. That is where she will have a significant advantage in this fight, simply latching on to Chiasson. Takedowns very well could come and would be a huge boon as Chiasson can be controlled and ultimately finished on the floor. However, even if it is just controlling and working in the clinch, Dumont will have something of an easy time taking rounds from Chiasson.

This will not remotely be the most exciting fight of the evening, but it is one that sets up very well for the favorite. Dumont will dictate where the fight takes place, (loads of clinch time) and will likely land some takedowns from there as well. I do not believe the move up to featherweight will do any favors for Chiasson as Dumont will be the significantly stronger fighter. That strength will be apparent as Dumont bullies her way to a convincing if not explosive win. Take Dumont on the flat line.

Betting Pick: Dumont -225

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