JP Buys vs Cody Durden Fight Odds
JP Buys -125 vs Cody Durden
Fight is at 125 lbs and is +120 to end inside the distance.
JP Buys is favored over Cody Durden, and I frankly completely disagree with that betting line. Buys is a very low level striker who is completely reliant on wrestling and grappling. Buys made his way into the promotion on his second shot on DWCS. In two UFC fights he has two losses, and neither were competitive fights. Buys has already been knocked out twice in the promotion. He will once again be at a massive striking disadvantage and certainly does not bring durability. Buys will lose all of the striking portions of this fight. He also faces another wrestler with a sound grappling game.
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Cody Durden has had limited success in the UFC, but has had more than his opponent. He notched a draw in his UFC debut and has a win over Aoriqileng, who is quite a sound fighter. Durden will not be mistaken with the greatest striker we will see, but has that huge advantage in this matchup. He has the pop to test the highly questionable chin of Buys. It is no secret that Buys will try to take Durden down. Durden has the wrestling to keep himself upright. He additionally is a sound enough grappler to return to his feet if taken down. He will only have to be careful to avoid obvious submission attacks and this fight is completely his fight to win.
While these two fighters are close in the wrestling and grappling realms, it is the striking and lack of durability of Buys that is the true difference. It truly makes little sense for Buys to be favored in this matchup. Sometimes oddsmakers and bettors give a fighter too much credit and I believe that is the case with Buys in this fight. Take Durden at the gift of a plus figure.