Jake Collier vs Chase Sherman Fight Odds
Jake Collier -130 vs Chase Sherman
Fight is at heavyweight and is +110 to end inside the distance.
Make no mistake, Jake Collier vs Chase Sherman is a low level matchup in the heavyweight division. We are likely looking at the last fight of Chase Sherman’s second UFC tenure. However, it is true that the promotion is always looking for heavyweights, so he may get one more shot if he loses here.
Sherman’s first UFC stint started in 2016. He went 2-5 in that period, and was cut after three consecutive losses. After winning some fights on the regional scene, he came back to the promotion. In the initial fight upon his return, he scored a KO of light heavyweight Ike Villanueva, who was fighting up a weight class. That win was notable because he had a similar one in his first stint, against Rashad Coulter. Sherman has been handily in two straight fights since the last win.
I brought up who Sherman has beaten, because the true bottom end competition is very notable. None of the three fighters Sherman has beaten in the UFC have won a UFC heavyweight fight. Sherman is 0-7 in the UFC against fighters who have notched a heavyweight win. Sherman is a moderate volume striker that is completely hittable. He is somewhat durable, but also fades later on in fights. He does not bring ample power, and is in for another rough outing in this fight.
Jake Collier is certainly no world beater, but should have an ample edge on Sherman. Since the new look Collier moved to heavyweight in 2020, he has gone 1-2 in the promotion. There is no shame in the KO loss to Tom Aspinall in the debut. Since then he has easily beaten Gian Villante and lost a controversial split decision to Carlos Felipe.
What To Bet
Collier will have the volume edge in what is likely a striking affair. While he also lacks power like his opponent, he will be the busier striker. He will also be the better conditioned fighter, despite what each fighter’s respective physiques might tell you. Look for Collier to win the first and second rounds somewhat decisively, but not as runaway rounds. Looks for the third round to be the runaway round for him as he gets the nod as just -130 favorite.