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poirier vs gaethje
July 28th, 2023

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje Prediction: Who Wins BMF Title Bout?

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin
Poirier -135
Gaethje +115
Dustin Poirier (-135) over Justin Gaethje

Dustin Poirier (-135) over Justin Gaethje

DraftKings Sportsbook

Best Bet
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Poirier -135
Gaethje +115
  • Poirier has the upper hand in this series, winning the previous fight between these two men by knockout.
  • Poirier also has the more versatile skillset, as he can win this fight from his feet or on the ground.

UFC’s BMF title is on the line on Saturday night at UFC 291, when Dustin Poirier takes on Justin Gaethje. These two have fought once previously, with Poirier taking that matchup by knockout, while Gaethje seeks revenge in this fight. Continue reading for our UFC best bets for Poirier vs Gaethje from Salt Lake City.

Poirier vs Gaethje UFC 291 Betting Pick

Poirier (-135) over Gaethje

Why Bet On Dustin Poirier:

✅ Poirier already has a win over Gaethje under his belt, as Poirier knocked Gaethje out in the fourth round of their fight in 2018.

✅ Poirier’s versatility is a huge factor in this fight, as he is much better at getting opponents to the ground, giving him another way to win a fight like this one.

✅ Both fighters have only lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira in their fights since their first matchup. With not much to separate these fighters, we will roll with the one who won their past encounter.

Dustin Poirier

Since beating Justin Gaethje in 2018, Dustin Poirier has taken on some massive fights, and has done well in most of them. He has wins over Michael Chandler and Conor McGregor under his belt, while he lost by submission to Khabib Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira over that span as well. Here, the Diamond will look for a second win in as many fights against Gaethje to secure the coveted BMF title in UFC.

For Poirier, the key to this fight is going to be getting Gaethje out of his comfort zone. Doing so will mean getting this fight off of the feet, as Gaethje is much more comfortable in a striking-centric bout. Look for Poirier to use his ability to take opponents down to win a round or two without having to put himself in too much danger of eating a knockout blow.

Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje has taken a similar path as Poirier since their last meeting. He has knockout wins over fighters like Cowboy Cerrone and Tony Ferguson, while he was submitted by Khabib and Do Bronxs. But the question for Gaethje now is whether he can exact revenge on Poirier in this main event matchup at UFC 291.

For Gaethje, this fight is one that he wants to keep off the ground, given that Poirier is so much more capable when a fight gets down there. But he will also need to be mindful of Poirier’s striking, which took him down the last time these two elite fighters met.

Tags: dustin poirier, justin gaethje
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