Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd Fight Odds
Anthony Hernandez -195 vs Josh Fremd
Fight is at 185 lbs and the is -500 to end inside the distance.
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Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd
Josh Fremd makes his UFC debut, and I do not believe it will be a successful one. I also do not believe he will have a long stay in the UFC unless he makes some serious developments. He is a wrestler that does bring some power. That power is his path to victory in this fight, but it is an unlikely event to come to fruition.
While Fremd is a wrestler, I do not believe that will be an area of advantage in this fight. I believe he is the more likely fighter to be taken down. What’s worse is that once he is taken down, I believe there is a large gap in ability on the floor. Even if is Fremd landing some takedowns, his opponent will be the far bigger threat for a submission.
The biggest liability in Fremd’s game is his lack of head movement. He is an extremely hittable fighter that has had issues with that in much lesser promotions. When arriving at the big show, deficiencies like that are quite magnified. It could be a short and unceremonious debut for him if there have not been significant improvements in his striking defense.
Anthony Hernandez is no world beater, but this is quite a favorable matchup for him. Some may say Hernandez has durability issues, and that may be true, but I do not see that becoming an issue in this particular matchup. What we will see is a superior grappler that will be able to have his way in a favorable spot. He is not a fighter that has accumulated knock outs, but that does not mean he is not capable. Hernandez will be threatening a finish wherever this fight goes and for the duration.
There is not a truly significant value in the -125 ITD line for Hernandez, but there is enough value to make that the play. I think a finish is very much in the cards and probable enough to play that ITD line. Look for Fremd to take his first of three losses in the promotion before being cut.