Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/26/2025
The Washington Nationals will face the Minnesota Twins on Saturday night at Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins won a pitching duel over the Nats on Friday night and will look to shut down the Nationals again here. Minnesota’s starting pitching could put them in a position to do just that tonight. For a full breakdown of this game, including my Nationals vs Twins prediction, continue reading right here.
Our Nationals vs Twins Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 26, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Mitchell Parker (WSH) vs. Joe Ryan (MIN)
- Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: MASN2 (Nationals), Bally Sports North (Twins)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Joe Ryan has been exceptional for the Twins this year. He has a 10–4 record with a 2.63 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over 116.1 innings. Mitchell Parker of the Nationals holds a 6–10 record with a 5.00 ERA and 1.40 WHIP across 108 innings. Parker is allowing over a hit per inning to this point in the year and will have to be careful against the power bats of the Twins tonight.
Bullpen Usage
Both bullpens performed admirably in the first game of this series on Friday night. The only run allowed in that game was conceded by Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore. But both bullpens hung nothing but zeroes on the scoreboard for the rest of the game.
Recent Team Streaks
- The nationals have lost two games in a row and are 2-3 in their last five games.
- The Twins have won three of their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| James Wood | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Twins lead the season series 1-0 over the Nationals after their win on Friday.
- The first game of this series stayed well under the total.
- Washington has been shut out in back-to-back games entering this game.
Nationals vs Twins Model Projection
- Score Projection: Nationals 3 – Twins 5
- Win Probability: Nationals 28%, Twins 72%
Final Thoughts
Joe Ryan is not who the Nationals will want to see after being shut out in two straight games. I’ll lay the runline with the Twins in this game with the expectation that the Nats offense gets shut down once again. Washington may not be held scoreless for a third game in a row. But they won’t do much scoring and Minnesota should win this contest without too much of a sweat.
