Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Overview
- Date: April 5, 2024
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Starting Pitchers:
- Yusei Kikuchi - Blue Jays
- Marcus Stroman - Yankees
- Umpire: Emil Jimenez
- Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-162), Yankees -1.5 (+136)
- Money Line: Blue Jays +124, Yankees -148
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities
Implied Win %:
- Toronto Blue Jays - 44.64%
- New York Yankees - 59.68%
Projected Win %:
- Toronto Blue Jays - 35.23%
- New York Yankees - 64.77%
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Game Preview & Prediction
The New York Yankees are set to host the Toronto Blue Jays in an American League East matchup at Yankee Stadium on April 5, 2024. The Yankees, who currently hold a 6-1 record this season, are off to a great start and are expected to continue their winning streak as they take on the Blue Jays, who have a 3-4 record and are struggling this season.
On the mound for the Yankees will be Marcus Stroman, a talented right-handed pitcher. He will face off against Yusei Kikuchi, a left-handed pitcher, who is projected to start for the Blue Jays. Both pitchers bring different strengths and strategies to the game, adding an element of excitement to the matchup.
This game marks the first in a series between the Yankees and the Blue Jays. The Yankees' offense has struggled in terms of team batting average, ranking 29th out of 30 teams in MLB. However, they compensate with their power, ranking 8th in team home runs. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have showcased a strong offense with a great team batting average, ranking 5th in MLB. They also have an average ranking in both home runs and stolen bases.
In terms of individual performances, the Yankees' best hitter this season has been their young talent Anthony Volpe. Over the past week, Volpe has been on fire, recording 9 hits, 6 runs, and 1 home run with an impressive .409 batting average and a 1.182 OPS. Meanwhile, Davis Schneider has been leading the way for the Blue Jays in the past seven games, recording 4 RBIs, 2 home runs, and a stellar 1.333 OPS.
The Yankees, as the home team, have the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd. With a strong record and a potent offense, they are in a favorable position to secure a victory against the struggling Blue Jays. However, baseball is an unpredictable game, and the Blue Jays will be looking to turn their season around with an upset win.
As the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X currently favors the Yankees with a higher projected win probability. However, in baseball, anything can happen, and the Blue Jays will be determined to prove their worth on the field. It's a game that promises excitement and a clash between two division rivals.
Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Yusei Kikuchi will tally an average of 15 outs in this matchup.
- THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Quick Takes New York Yankees:
With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Marcus Stroman ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
- Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Soto as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.
- THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.
Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences today.
- This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Game Trends
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 110 games (+10.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 63% ROI)
Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays 3.44 vs New York Yankees 4.49
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
Team Records
TOR | Team Records | NYY |
---|---|---|
23-28 | Home | 27-23 |
23-28 | Road | 33-21 |
39-45 | vRHP | 49-29 |
7-11 | vLHP | 11-15 |
32-45 | vs>.500 | 40-32 |
14-11 | vs<.500 | 20-12 |
4-6 | Last10 | 4-6 |
8-12 | Last20 | 7-13 |
11-19 | Last30 | 10-20 |
Team Stats
TOR | Team Stats | NYY |
---|---|---|
3.68 | ERA | 4.06 |
.238 | Batting Avg Against | .231 |
1.24 | WHIP | 1.25 |
.294 | BABIP | .276 |
8.0% | BB% | 8.8% |
25.1% | K% | 23.5% |
76.4% | LOB% | 73.2% |
.260 | Batting Avg | .232 |
.415 | SLG | .402 |
.746 | OPS | .709 |
.331 | OBP | .307 |
Pitchers
Y. Kikuchi | M. Stroman | |
---|---|---|
128.1 | Innings | N/A |
24 | GS | N/A |
9-4 | W-L | N/A |
3.44 | ERA | N/A |
9.26 | K/9 | N/A |
2.45 | BB/9 | N/A |
1.54 | HR/9 | N/A |
84.2% | LOB% | N/A |
15.9% | HR/FB% | N/A |
4.35 | FIP | N/A |
3.88 | xFIP | N/A |
.244 | AVG | N/A |
24.9% | K% | N/A |
6.6% | BB% | N/A |
3.92 | SIERA | N/A |
Recent Starts
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/4 NYY | Cortes ML N/A | W2-1 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 54-78 |
4/29 HOU | Urquidy ML N/A | L7-11 TOTAL N/A | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 39-66 |
4/24 HOU | Garcia ML N/A | L7-8 TOTAL N/A | 3.2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 44-77 |
4/19 BOS | Eovaldi ML N/A | L1-2 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 58-91 |
4/12 NYY | Cortes ML N/A | L0-4 TOTAL N/A | 3.1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 49-84 |
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/1 MIL | Burnes ML N/A | W2-0 TOTAL N/A | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 59-90 |
4/26 ATL | Fried ML N/A | L1-3 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 59-86 |
4/20 TB | Rasmussen ML N/A | L2-8 TOTAL N/A | 4.1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 56-88 |
4/15 COL | Marquez ML N/A | L5-6 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 49-80 |
4/10 MIL | Peralta ML N/A | L4-5 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 42-79 |
Betting Trends
TOR | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
0.67 | Avg Score | 3.67 |
6.33 | Avg Opp Score | 4.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
0.67 | Avg Score | 4.67 |
6.33 | Avg Opp Score | 4 |
TOR | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
2.4 | Avg Score | 4 |
5.2 | Avg Opp Score | 4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
2.4 | Avg Score | 4 |
5.2 | Avg Opp Score | 4.2 |
TOR | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
3.1 | Avg Score | 4.4 |
5.3 | Avg Opp Score | 4.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
3.2 | Avg Score | 3.2 |
4.6 | Avg Opp Score | 5.8 |