Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Preview – 6/13/2024

Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers

Jun 13, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Details

  • Date: June 13, 2024
  • Venue: Dodger Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Michael Lorenzen - Rangers
    • Yohan Ramirez - Dodgers

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Rangers 175, Dodgers -205
Runline: Rangers 1.5 -120, Dodgers -1.5 100
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -110

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Texas Rangers - 35% Texas Rangers - 36.99%
Los Angeles Dodgers - 65% Los Angeles Dodgers - 63.01%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Texas Rangers face off on June 13, 2024, in the third game of their series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers, boasting a stellar 42-27 record, are having a fantastic season, whereas the Rangers, with a 32-35 record, are experiencing a below-average year. This interleague matchup has significant implications, especially for the Dodgers, who are aiming to maintain their strong standing.

In their previous clash on June 12, the Dodgers fell to the Rangers in a close 3-2 contest. Despite entering the game as favorites with a closing Moneyline price of -160, they couldn't capitalize on their chances. The Rangers, overcoming the odds with a +140 Moneyline, managed to secure a surprising win.

Starting for the Dodgers will be Yohan Ramirez, who has yet to start a game this season but has made 20 bullpen appearances. Ramirez has struggled, holding a 5.33 ERA and an 0-2 record. However, his xFIP of 4.58 suggests he's been somewhat unlucky and might perform better moving forward. On the other side, Michael Lorenzen gets the nod for the Rangers. Lorenzen has been effective with a 3.05 ERA in his 10 starts, although his 4.57 xFIP indicates he might regress.

The Dodgers' offense is a force to be reckoned with, ranking 1st in MLB overall and 3rd in both batting average and home runs. Shohei Ohtani has been their standout performer, hitting .311 with 17 home runs and a .970 OPS. Complementing this, Teoscar Hernandez has been on fire recently, posting a .417 batting average and 1.648 OPS over the last week.

Conversely, the Rangers' offense is more average, ranked 16th in MLB. Marcus Semien has been their best hitter with 11 home runs and a .308 batting average. This contrast in offensive firepower could be a deciding factor.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, projects the Dodgers as the favorite, with a 61% chance of winning. With a potent offense, a solid bullpen, and the statistical edge, the Dodgers are poised to bounce back from their recent loss and clinch the series.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Michael Lorenzen didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and posted 1 Ks.

  • A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.

Since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

  • Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Texas Rangers with a 21.7% underlying K%.

  • THE BAT X analyzes each player in today's specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yohan Ramirez is projected to throw 61 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

  • Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

  • Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 10th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

  • Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+16.20 Units / 45% ROI)

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Final Score: Texas Rangers 4.54 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.68

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+160
9% TEX
-189
91% LAD

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-105
5% UN
8.5/-115
95% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-122
3% TEX
-1.5/+102
97% LAD

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
TEX
Team Stats
LAD
3.98
ERA
4.26
.236
Batting Avg Against
.239
1.21
WHIP
1.24
.282
BABIP
.288
7.7%
BB%
7.8%
22.5%
K%
23.0%
72.9%
LOB%
70.6%
.273
Batting Avg
.252
.464
SLG
.456
.807
OPS
.795
.342
OBP
.339
TEX
Team Records
LAD
24-21
Home
28-19
22-29
Road
28-22
34-35
vRHP
31-31
12-15
vLHP
25-10
26-32
vs>.500
26-22
20-18
vs<.500
30-19
7-3
Last10
3-7
10-10
Last20
9-11
15-15
Last30
15-15
M. Lorenzen
M. Grove
N/A
Innings
64.0
N/A
GS
12
N/A
W-L
2-3
N/A
ERA
6.61
N/A
K/9
9.42
N/A
BB/9
2.53
N/A
HR/9
1.69
N/A
LOB%
65.0%
N/A
HR/FB%
16.9%
N/A
FIP
4.60
N/A
xFIP
3.98

M. Lorenzen

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 CHW
Keuchel N/A
W6-5 N/A
8.1
9
3
3
2
2
69-100
4/18 HOU
Garcia N/A
L3-8 N/A
3.1
4
4
4
2
2
46-79
4/11 MIA
Hernandez N/A
W6-2 N/A
6
2
1
1
7
0
58-89
9/20 CHW
Cease 117
W7-3 9.5
4.2
3
2
2
8
2
57-93
9/15 PIT
Musgrove 122
W4-1 9
5
4
1
1
6
0
49-76

M. Grove

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TEX LAD
TEX LAD
Consensus
+193
-225
+160
-189
+185
-225
+160
-192
+200
-245
+154
-184
+175
-210
+165
-195
+162
-195
+158
-190
+185
-225
+150
-185
Open
Current
Book
TEX LAD
TEX LAD
Consensus
+1.5 (-131)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-131)
-1.5 (+108)
+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (+102)
+1.5 (-134)
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-134)
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-136)
-1.5 (+107)
+1.5 (-136)
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+110)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.5 (-113)
8.5 (-108)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-109)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)