San Diego Padres VS San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Preview – 4/5/2024

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Overview

• Date: April 5, 2024
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Dylan Cease - Padres
  • Jordan Hicks - Giants
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+164), Giants +1.5 (-198)
• Money Line: Padres -102, Giants -118
• Total (Over/Under): 7.5

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• San Diego Padres - 50.5%
• San Francisco Giants - 54.13%

Projected Win %:

• San Diego Padres - 42.85%
• San Francisco Giants - 57.15%

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Game Preview & Prediction

In a National League West matchup, the San Francisco Giants will face off against the San Diego Padres on April 5, 2024, at Oracle Park. The Giants, with a record of 2-4 this season, are having a tough start, while the Padres, with a record of 4-5, are also struggling.

The Giants, serving as the home team, will look to turn their season around in front of their home crowd. They are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jordan Hicks, who will bring his skills to the mound. On the other side, the Padres will counter with right-handed pitcher Dylan Cease, adding to the excitement of the game.

This game marks the first in a series between these two teams, setting the stage for a competitive showdown. The Giants will rely on their home-field advantage to gain an edge over the Padres.

When it comes to offensive rankings, the Giants are currently ranked 21st in MLB in team batting average this season, which is considered below average. Their home run ranking is slightly better at 19th, indicating an average level of power. However, their stolen base ranking is quite low at 29th, suggesting a lack of speed on the basepaths.

The Padres, on the other hand, are ranked 20th in team batting average, also below average. However, they excel in the power department, ranking 10th in MLB in team home runs, indicating a strong lineup. Additionally, they have shown their speed by ranking 7th in team stolen bases.

In terms of individual performances, the Giants' best hitter this season has been a player yet to be mentioned. Meanwhile, the Padres' best hitter has been another unnamed player. However, over the last seven games, the Giants' standout hitter has been Michael Conforto. In the past week, Conforto has recorded 9 hits, 8 runs, 7 RBIs, and 3 home runs, boasting an impressive 0.391 batting average and a 1.310 OPS. The Padres' top performer over the last seven games has been Luis Campusano, who has recorded 9 hits, 5 RBIs, and 1 home run, with a stellar 0.450 batting average and a 1.100 OPS.

Looking at the overall picture, the Giants will need a strong performance from their offense to overcome their slow start to the season. Meanwhile, the Padres will rely on their power and speed to challenge the Giants' pitching staff. With both teams eager to improve their records, this matchup promises an exciting battle between division rivals.

Quick Takes San Diego Padres:

Dylan Cease has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording 7.1 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 4th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jordan Hicks in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+25.17 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 132 games (+13.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: San Diego Padres 3.46 vs San Francisco Giants 3.8

Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.