Zack Wheeler Prop projections for Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox on Jun 11, 2024

Zack Wheeler Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 126
  • Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Zack Wheeler projects as the 7th-best starter in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Wheeler to throw 98 pitches today (most of all pitchers on the slate), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

In Major League Baseball, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

In his previous GS, Zack Wheeler turned in a great performance and gave up 1 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

Fenway Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

Zack Wheeler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Zack Wheeler has used his slider 16% less often this season (10.6%) than he did last year (26.6%).

Given the 0.76 discrepancy between Zack Wheeler's 2.23 ERA and his 2.99 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should perform worse in the future.

Zack Wheeler Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 18.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Zack Wheeler Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Fenway Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

Zack Wheeler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Zack Wheeler has used his slider 16% less often this season (10.6%) than he did last year (26.6%).

Given the 0.76 discrepancy between Zack Wheeler's 2.23 ERA and his 2.99 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should perform worse in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

Zack Wheeler projects as the 7th-best starter in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Boston Red Sox have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

In Major League Baseball, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

In his previous GS, Zack Wheeler turned in a great performance and gave up 1 ER.

Zack Wheeler's 2410-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Zack Wheeler Earned Runs Prop Projection

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.


Zack Wheeler Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 6.5 over: -120
  • Strikeouts 6.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler in the 94th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Wheeler to throw 98 pitches today (most of all pitchers on the slate), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Boston Red Sox with a 25.6% underlying K%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.

Zack Wheeler's 2410-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Zack Wheeler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Zack Wheeler has used his slider 16% less often this season (10.6%) than he did last year (26.6%).

Considering the 0.18 disparity between Zack Wheeler's 10.15 K/9 and his 9.97 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.

Zack Wheeler Strikeouts Prop Projection

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 6.8 Strikeouts in todays game.