Zach Eflin Prop projections for Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves on Jun 16, 2024

Zach Eflin Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -161
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 8th-best stadium in the majors for batting average.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Eflin in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Zach Eflin's overall pitching talent is in the 89th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

The 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB are found in Truist Park.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Zach Eflin was on point in his last game started and gave up 2 ER.

Zach Eflin Earned Runs Prop Projection

Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.


Zach Eflin Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: 104
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: -137

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Atlanta Braves have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (J.P. Martinez, Adam Duvall, Jarred Kelenic).

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Zach Eflin's slider utilization has jumped by 7.6% from last year to this one (4.2% to 11.8%) .

With a 0.95 difference between Zach Eflin's 6.55 K/9 and his 7.51 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see positive regression in future games.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zach Eflin is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Eflin in today's matchup.

Zach Eflin's 90.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 14th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Zach Eflin Strikeouts Prop Projection

Zach Eflin is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in todays game.


Zach Eflin Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -125
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Zach Eflin's overall pitching talent is in the 89th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

The 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB are found in Truist Park.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Zach Eflin was on point in his last game started and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zach Eflin is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 8th-best stadium in the majors for batting average.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Zach Eflin Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Zach Eflin is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.