Zach Eflin projections, stats and prop bet odds for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays on Jul 24, 2024
Zach Eflin Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 106
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
John Libka grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach Eflin in today's game.
Zach Eflin has gone to his curveball 7.9% less often this season (18.6%) than he did last year (26.5%).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.
The league's 8th-highest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.
With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Zach Eflin has been unlucky this year, compiling a 4.14 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.75 — a 0.39 deviation.
Projection For Today's Zach Eflin Earned Runs Prop Bet
Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
Zach Eflin Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 128
- Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -175
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.
The league's 8th-highest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.
With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Zach Eflin has been unlucky this year, compiling a 4.14 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.75 — a 0.39 deviation.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Eflin to throw 85 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
John Libka grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach Eflin in today's game.
Projection For Today's Zach Eflin Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Zach Eflin is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Zach Eflin Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: 124
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -158
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the league for strikeouts.
With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Considering the 0.73 discrepancy between Zach Eflin's 7.16 K/9 and his 7.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress the rest of the season.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Eflin to throw 85 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Toronto Blue Jays (19.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams today.
John Libka grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach Eflin in today's game.
Zach Eflin has gone to his curveball 7.9% less often this season (18.6%) than he did last year (26.5%).
Projection For Today's Zach Eflin Strikeouts Prop Bet
Zach Eflin is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in todays game.
