Tyler Mahle projections, stats and prop bet odds for Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers on Aug 18, 2024
Tyler Mahle Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Ryan Additon projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
The Minnesota Twins have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Mahle today.
Considering the 1.05 discrepancy between Tyler Mahle's 3.06 ERA and his 4.11 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season and ought to see worse results in the future.
Minnesota's 14.8° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in baseball this year: #2 overall.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Tyler Mahle's overall pitching ability ranks in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game currently.
It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst park in Major League Baseball for base hits.
Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Projection For Today's Tyler Mahle Earned Runs Prop Bet
Tyler Mahle is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in todays game.
Tyler Mahle Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -161
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Minnesota Twins (25.5% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy group of batters of the day.
Globe Life Field profiles as the #8 field in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tyler Mahle will hold that advantage today.
In his previous game started, Tyler Mahle performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tyler Mahle has averaged 78.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 9th percentile.
Ryan Additon projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.
The Minnesota Twins have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Mahle today.
Considering the 0.83 discrepancy between Tyler Mahle's 9.43 K/9 and his 8.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.
Projection For Today's Tyler Mahle Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tyler Mahle is projected to have 5.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
