Trevor Williams MLB projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals on Sep 27, 2024
Trevor Williams Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -119
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense ranks as the 4th-best of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the majors for BABIP.
Trevor Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Trevor Williams was on point in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.
Trevor Williams has gone to his slider 16.2% more often this year (34.4%) than he did last year (18.2%).
With a 2.86 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control), Trevor Williams falls in the 96th percentile.
Projection For Trevor Williams Earned Runs Prop Bet
Trevor Williams is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Trevor Williams Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -148
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: 116
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Trevor Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Trevor Williams was in good form in his last start and put up 7 strikeouts.
Trevor Williams has gone to his slider 16.2% more often this year (34.4%) than he did last year (18.2%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Trevor Williams has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
Nationals Park ranks as the #21 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Among all starting pitchers, Trevor Williams's fastball velocity of 88.5 mph is in the 2nd percentile this year.
Trevor Williams has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.88 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.36 — a 0.52 K/9 difference.
Projection For Trevor Williams Strikeouts Prop Bet
Trevor Williams is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
