Spencer Arrighetti Prop projections for Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants on Jun 10, 2024

Spencer Arrighetti Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: 112
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -154

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Yainer Diaz, the Astros's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup.

Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a 2.06 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #3 park in the game for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

In Major League Baseball, the tallest fences are at Oracle Park.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs Prop Projection

Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.


Spencer Arrighetti Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -125
  • Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #3 park in the game for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

In Major League Baseball, the tallest fences are at Oracle Park.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 14 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup.

Spencer Arrighetti Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 14.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Spencer Arrighetti Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 5.5 over: 105
  • Strikeouts 5.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Mike Yastrzemski, Matt Chapman).

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Arrighetti must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 59.3% of the time, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, Spencer Arrighetti posted a 12% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

Yainer Diaz, the Astros's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 8th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup.

Spencer Arrighetti has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.61 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.06 — a 1.55 K/9 difference.

Spencer Arrighetti Strikeouts Prop Projection

Spencer Arrighetti is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in todays game.