Paul Skenes projections, stats and prop bet odds for St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates on Jul 23, 2024
Paul Skenes Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 138
- Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -182
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Paul Skenes projects as the 3rd-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Throwing 95.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Paul Skenes places him the 91st percentile.
Jim Wolf grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
The #4 park in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 81°.
Paul Skenes’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2235 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2289 rpm).
Considering the 1.1 gap between Paul Skenes's 1.90 ERA and his 3.00 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should negatively regress the rest of the season.
Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals batters have excelled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-best in the majors.
Projection For Today's Paul Skenes Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Paul Skenes is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Paul Skenes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 7.5 over: -111
- Strikeouts 7.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best starter in the game right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Throwing 95.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Paul Skenes places him the 91st percentile.
Jim Wolf grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Paul Skenes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The #5 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 81°.
Paul Skenes’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2235 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2289 rpm).
Paul Skenes has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 12.08 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.48 — a 0.60 K/9 deviation.
Projection For Today's Paul Skenes Strikeouts Prop Bet
Paul Skenes is projected to have 7 Strikeouts in todays game.
Paul Skenes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -117
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 81°.
Paul Skenes’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2235 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2289 rpm).
Considering the 1.1 gap between Paul Skenes's 1.90 ERA and his 3.00 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should negatively regress the rest of the season.
Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals batters have excelled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-best in the majors.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Paul Skenes projects as the 3rd-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jim Wolf grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
The #4 park in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
In MLB, PNC Park's LF fences are the 9th-deepest.
Projection For Today's Paul Skenes Earned Runs Prop Bet
Paul Skenes is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in todays game.
