Image 1

Patrick Bailey

San Francisco Giants

Image 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

09:40 PM

Jul 1, 2025

Image 4

San Francisco Giants

  • Projections
  • Props

Home Runs

Read Projection

Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 1100

Home Runs 0.5 under: -3500

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.4% to 20.5%.

Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for LHB home runs.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Chase Field.

In the majors, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

Patrick Bailey is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

Read Less

RBIs

Read Projection

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 220

RBIs 0.5 under: -294

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Chase Field.

In the majors, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 29%.

Patrick Bailey is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

Read Less

Hits

Read Projection

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -152

Hits 0.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey's true offensive skill to be a .283, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 disparity between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Chase Field.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 29%.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Patrick Bailey today.

Patrick Bailey is projected to have 0.8 Hits in today's game.

Read Less

Hits Runs and RBIs

Read Projection

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 110

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Chase Field.

In the majors, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 29%.

Patrick Bailey is projected to have 1.6 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

Read Less

Total Bases

Read Projection

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: -150

Total Bases 0.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Chase Field.

In the majors, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 29%.

Patrick Bailey is projected to have 0.8 Total Bases in today's game.

Read Less

Patrick Bailey Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Fanatics Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (433)
un 0.5 (-750)
ov 0.5 (450)
un 0.5 (-750)
ov 0.5 (450)
un 0.5 (-750)
ov 0.5 (400)
-
Singles
ov 0.5 (113)
un 0.5 (-156)
ov 0.5 (125)
un 0.5 (-175)
ov 0.5 (115)
un 0.5 (-150)
ov 0.5 (105)
un 0.5 (-150)
ov 0.5 (108)
un 0.5 (-148)
Stolen Bases
ov 0.5 (1700)
un 0.5 (-10000)
ov 0.5 (2500)
un 0.5 (-10000)
ov 0.5 (1400)
ov 0.5 (1200)
-
Total Bases
ov 0.5 (-152)
un 0.5 (111)
-
ov 0.5 (-155)
un 0.5 (110)
ov 0.5 (-140)
un 0.5 (105)
ov 0.5 (-154)
un 0.5 (112)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-144)
un 0.5 (107)
ov 0.5 (-135)
un 0.5 (100)
ov 0.5 (-150)
un 0.5 (115)
ov 0.5 (-140)
un 0.5 (105)
ov 0.5 (-148)
un 0.5 (108)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 1.5 (123)
un 1.5 (-167)
ov 1.5 (135)
un 1.5 (-180)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-160)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-160)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-166)
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (1000)
un 0.5 (-2000)
-
ov 0.5 (1000)
un 0.5 (-2000)
-
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (251)
un 0.5 (-363)
ov 0.5 (280)
un 0.5 (-400)
ov 0.5 (230)
un 0.5 (-300)
ov 0.5 (260)
un 0.5 (-400)
ov 0.5 (236)
un 0.5 (-354)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (160)
un 0.5 (-224)
ov 0.5 (150)
un 0.5 (-215)
ov 0.5 (165)
un 0.5 (-225)
-
ov 0.5 (165)
un 0.5 (-234)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (184)
un 0.5 (-259)
ov 0.5 (175)
un 0.5 (-250)
-
ov 0.5 (200)
un 0.5 (-275)
ov 0.5 (178)
un 0.5 (-254)
Triples
ov 0.5 (2250)
-
ov 0.5 (2500)
ov 0.5 (2000)
-

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home MLB Picks MLB Player Props Patrick Bailey Projections, Prop Bets & Odds