Nolan Arenado projections, stats and prop bet odds for Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals on Jul 26, 2024
Nolan Arenado Player Prop Bet: Hits
Hits Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits 0.5 over: -227
- Hits 0.5 under: 175
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Last year, Nolan Arenado had an average launch angle of 12.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.9°.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85 mph now
Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 18.8% over the last 7 days.
Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .266 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Projection For Today's Nolan Arenado Hits Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to have 0.9 Hits in todays game.
Nolan Arenado Player Prop Bet: RBIs
RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- RBIs 0.5 over: 160
- RBIs 0.5 under: -200
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.
Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85 mph now
Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 18.8% over the last 7 days.
Projection For Today's Nolan Arenado RBIs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to have 0.6 RBIs in todays game.
Nolan Arenado Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -130
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.
Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85 mph now
Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 18.8% over the last 7 days.
Projection For Today's Nolan Arenado Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to have 2.1 Hits Runs and RBIs in todays game.
Nolan Arenado Player Prop Bet: Total Bases
Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:
- Total Bases 1.5 over: 135
- Total Bases 1.5 under: -167
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.
Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85 mph now
Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 18.8% over the last 7 days.
Projection For Today's Nolan Arenado Total Bases Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to have 1.5 Total Bases in todays game.
Nolan Arenado Player Prop Bet: Home Runs
Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Home Runs 0.5 over: 600
- Home Runs 0.5 under: -900
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet
The #3 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado's average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85 mph now
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck this year. His .309 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290.
Posting a .183 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Nolan Arenado is positioned in the 25th percentile.
Projection For Today's Nolan Arenado Home Runs Prop Bet
Nolan Arenado is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in todays game.
