Nestor Cortes projections, stats and prop bet odds for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox on Jul 26, 2024
Nestor Cortes Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -102
- Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nestor Cortes in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.
Tallying 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Nestor Cortes ranks in the 80th percentile.
The Boston Red Sox have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games
Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in MLB.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in the game for batting average.
Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Nestor Cortes will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Nestor Cortes (43.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Boston's projected offense.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nestor Cortes in today's game.
Projection For Today's Nestor Cortes Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Nestor Cortes is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Nestor Cortes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -167
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in the game for batting average.
Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Nestor Cortes will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Nestor Cortes (43.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Boston's projected offense.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nestor Cortes in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nestor Cortes in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.
The Boston Red Sox have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games
Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in MLB.
Nestor Cortes's four-seam fastball rate has decreased by 6.6% from last season to this one (52% to 45.4%) .
Projection For Today's Nestor Cortes Earned Runs Prop Bet
Nestor Cortes is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.
Nestor Cortes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -155
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Nestor Cortes in the 80th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
Tallying 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Nestor Cortes ranks in the 80th percentile.
The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Romy Gonzalez, Connor Wong, Tyler O'Neill).
Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The #9 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Nestor Cortes will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Nestor Cortes (43.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Boston's projected offense.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nestor Cortes in today's game.
Nestor Cortes struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and accumulated 1 Ks.
Projection For Today's Nestor Cortes Strikeouts Prop Bet
Nestor Cortes is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in todays game.
