Merrill Kelly projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants on Sep 5, 2024
Merrill Kelly Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -137
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) calling pitches in today's game.
Projected catcher Jose Herrera grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Merrill Kelly today.
Merrill Kelly's 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 23rd percentile out of all starters.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the worst field in MLB for walks.
Oracle Park has the tallest fences among all major league parks.
This contest is expected to have the 8th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Among every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Merrill Kelly has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches 9.2% more often this year (67%) than he did last season (57.8%).
Projection For Today's Merrill Kelly Earned Runs Prop Bet
Merrill Kelly is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.
Merrill Kelly Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: 100
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Merrill Kelly has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 4.6 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
The San Francisco Giants have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Marco Luciano, Grant McCray, Tyler Fitzgerald).
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.
This contest is expected to have the 8th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Merrill Kelly has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches 9.2% more often this year (67%) than he did last season (57.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) calling pitches in today's game.
Projected catcher Jose Herrera grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for strikeouts.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Merrill Kelly today.
Merrill Kelly didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and accumulated 1 Ks.
Projection For Today's Merrill Kelly Strikeouts Prop Bet
Merrill Kelly is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in todays game.
Merrill Kelly Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -148
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Merrill Kelly has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 4.6 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the worst field in MLB for walks.
Oracle Park has the tallest fences among all major league parks.
This contest is expected to have the 8th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Among every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) calling pitches in today's game.
Projected catcher Jose Herrera grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Merrill Kelly today.
Merrill Kelly's 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 23rd percentile out of all starters.
Projection For Today's Merrill Kelly Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Merrill Kelly is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.
