Max Fried projections, stats and prop bet odds for Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks on Jul 11, 2024
Max Fried Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -141
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Compared to average, Max Fried has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 7.3 adjusted pitches each start.
Sean Murphy, the Braves's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 24%.
As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Max Fried will benefit from squaring off against 8 batters in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in today's outing.
Considering that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Max Fried (52.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.5% underlying K%.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.
Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Max Fried's 2208-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 23rd percentile among all starters.
Projection For Today's Max Fried Strikeouts Prop Bet
Max Fried is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
Max Fried Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -167
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 8th-best starter in the majors currently.
Compared to average, Max Fried has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 7.3 adjusted pitches each start.
Sean Murphy, the Braves's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 24%.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The #4 park in baseball for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
In his previous game started, Max Fried conceded a whopping 5 earned runs.
Projection For Today's Max Fried Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Max Fried is projected to have 17.8 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Max Fried Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #4 park in baseball for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 9th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
In his previous game started, Max Fried conceded a whopping 5 earned runs.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 8th-best starter in the majors currently.
Sean Murphy, the Braves's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 24%.
As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Max Fried will benefit from squaring off against 8 batters in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in today's outing.
Projection For Today's Max Fried Earned Runs Prop Bet
Max Fried is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
