Luis Severino projections, stats and prop bet odds for New York Mets at Miami Marlins on Jul 20, 2024

Luis Severino Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: 100
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

Tallying 94.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Luis Severino ranks in the 87th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Out of all starting pitchers, Luis Severino's fastball velocity of 95.4 mph grades out in the 88th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Luis Severino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Luis Severino has gone to his non-fastballs 12.6% less often this season (38.5%) than he did last year (51.1%).

Among all starting pitchers, Luis Severino's fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Luis Severino put up an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Luis Severino has posted a 17.7% strikeout rate this year.

Projection For Today's Luis Severino Strikeouts Prop Bet

Luis Severino is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in todays game.


Luis Severino Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 118
  • Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -163

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Tallying 94.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Luis Severino ranks in the 87th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The 4th-deepest RF fences in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The Miami Marlins have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #5 venue in the majors for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Luis Severino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Luis Severino has gone to his non-fastballs 12.6% less often this season (38.5%) than he did last year (51.1%).

Among all starting pitchers, Luis Severino's fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Projection For Today's Luis Severino Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Luis Severino is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Luis Severino Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: 130
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -167

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The Miami Marlins have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #5 venue in the majors for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Luis Severino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Luis Severino has gone to his non-fastballs 12.6% less often this season (38.5%) than he did last year (51.1%).

Among all starting pitchers, Luis Severino's fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The 4th-deepest RF fences in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Luis Severino was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and conceded 2 ER.

Projection For Today's Luis Severino Earned Runs Prop Bet

Luis Severino is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.