Luis Gil MLB projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees on Sep 28, 2024
Luis Gil Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #5 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Over his last 3 starts, Luis Gil has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2439 rpm over the whole season to 2352 rpm recently.
Luis Gil has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 3.27 rate is a fair amount lower than his 3.90 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Luis Gil's overall pitching skill ranks in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball right now.
Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.
Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Yankee Stadium.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
Projection For Luis Gil Earned Runs Prop Bet
Luis Gil is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Luis Gil Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -154
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Gil in the 87th percentile among all SPs in baseball.
Luis Gil has averaged 94.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Liover Peguero, Jared Triolo, Oneil Cruz).
Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.
Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Over his last 3 starts, Luis Gil has experienced a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2439 rpm over the whole season to 2352 rpm recently.
With a 0.33 difference between Luis Gil's 10.23 K/9 and his 9.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see worse results going forward.
Projection For Luis Gil Strikeouts Prop Bet
Luis Gil is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
