Landen Roupp MLB projections and prop bets for St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants on Sep 27, 2024
Landen Roupp Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -166
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Given the 1.42 gap between Landen Roupp's 2.70 ERA and his 4.12 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.
Landen Roupp has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .262 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Ranking in the 18th percentile, Landen Roupp has put up a 1.69 K/BB rate this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Landen Roupp in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Oracle Park profiles as the #30 park in Major League Baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oracle Park has the tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.
Projection For Landen Roupp Earned Runs Prop Bet
Landen Roupp is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Landen Roupp Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: 122
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -156
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.
Landen Roupp will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Landen Roupp to throw 81 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Oracle Park ranks as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Projection For Landen Roupp Strikeouts Prop Bet
Landen Roupp is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
