Kyle Freeland projections, stats and prop bet odds for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds on Jul 10, 2024

Kyle Freeland Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -175
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Elias Diaz (the Rockies's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

The 3rd-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

In his previous outing, Kyle Freeland turned in a great performance and conceded 1 ER.

Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity has risen 3 mph this year (91.2 mph) over where it was last year (88.2 mph).

Kyle Freeland has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 6.62 figure is significantly inflated relative to his 4.59 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Projection For Today's Kyle Freeland Earned Runs Prop Bet

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in todays game.


Kyle Freeland Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -115
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -119

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The 3rd-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

In his previous outing, Kyle Freeland turned in a great performance and conceded 1 ER.

Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity has risen 3 mph this year (91.2 mph) over where it was last year (88.2 mph).

Kyle Freeland has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 6.62 figure is significantly inflated relative to his 4.59 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Elias Diaz (the Rockies's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Projection For Today's Kyle Freeland Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Kyle Freeland Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

The Cincinnati Reds (25.2% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Kyle Freeland's fastball velocity has risen 3 mph this year (91.2 mph) over where it was last year (88.2 mph).

Kyle Freeland has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.35 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.91 — a 1.56 K/9 disparity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Freeland in the 19th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Elias Diaz (the Rockies's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 8th-worst stadium in MLB for strikeouts.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The Cincinnati Reds have 9 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game.

Projection For Today's Kyle Freeland Strikeouts Prop Bet

Kyle Freeland is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in todays game.