Justin Steele projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs on Jul 19, 2024

Justin Steele Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Justin Steele's 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 14th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Justin Steele's high utilization percentage of his fastball (65.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Justin Steele has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.71 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.56 โ€” a 0.85 disparity.

Justin Steele has notched a .238 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Justin Steele's overall pitching skill grades out in the 95th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

Among all major league parks, the 7th-highest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.

Projection For Today's Justin Steele Earned Runs Prop Bet

Justin Steele is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.


Justin Steele Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 138
  • Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Justin Steele's overall pitching skill grades out in the 95th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.

Justin Steele has tallied 18.5 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

Among all major league parks, the 7th-highest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Justin Steele's 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 14th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Justin Steele's high utilization percentage of his fastball (65.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Justin Steele has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.71 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.56 โ€” a 0.85 disparity.

Justin Steele has notched a .238 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Projection For Today's Justin Steele Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Justin Steele is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Justin Steele Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: -161
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-best park in MLB for strikeouts.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Justin Steele will hold that advantage in today's game.

Out of all SPs, Justin Steele's fastball spin rate of 2424 rpm grades out in the 84th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.2% underlying K%.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Justin Steele's 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 14th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Justin Steele's high utilization percentage of his fastball (65.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Projection For Today's Justin Steele Strikeouts Prop Bet

Justin Steele is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in todays game.