Jose Berrios projections, stats and prop bet odds for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays on Jul 23, 2024
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -135
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Throwing 92.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jose Berrios places in the 79th percentile.
The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Jose Berrios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
Jose Berrios has added a slider to his pitch mix this year and has mixed it in 30.1% of the time.
Considering the 1.01 discrepancy between Jose Berrios's 6.58 K/9 and his 7.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform better in future games.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
In his previous game started, Jose Berrios struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 0 Ks.
Jose Berrios's 2158-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has recorded a 7.9% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Checking in at the 15th percentile, Jose Berrios has notched an 18% strikeout rate this year.
Projection For Today's Jose Berrios Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in todays game.
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 128
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -161
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre.
In his previous start, Jose Berrios allowed a colossal 5 earned runs.
Jose Berrios's 2158-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.01 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 5.17 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 5.17 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Jose Berrios ranks in the 9th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst field in MLB for batting average.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.
Jose Berrios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
Jose Berrios has added a slider to his pitch mix this year and has mixed it in 30.1% of the time.
Projection For Today's Jose Berrios Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -161
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Throwing 92.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jose Berrios places in the 79th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst field in MLB for batting average.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.
Jose Berrios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre.
In his previous start, Jose Berrios allowed a colossal 5 earned runs.
Jose Berrios's 2158-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.01 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 5.17 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 5.17 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Jose Berrios ranks in the 9th percentile.
Projection For Today's Jose Berrios Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in todays game.
