Joey Estes Prop projections for Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics on Jun 21, 2024

Joey Estes Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Joey Estes in the 20th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Shea Langeliers, the Athletics's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Oakland Athletics.

In his previous outing, Joey Estes allowed a colossal 6 earned runs.

Joey Estes's high utilization percentage of his fastball (56.1% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

It may be best to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the worst ballpark in the game for home runs.

Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Oakland Coliseum's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Joey Estes Earned Runs Prop Projection

Joey Estes is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.


Joey Estes Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 4.5 over: 106
  • Strikeouts 4.5 under: -134

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Oakland Coliseum's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Joey Estes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Joey Estes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Out of all starting pitchers, Joey Estes's fastball spin rate of 2427 rpm ranks in the 87th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Estes to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (8th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Shea Langeliers, the Athletics's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Joey Estes struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and put up 2 Ks.

Joey Estes's high utilization percentage of his fastball (56.1% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Joey Estes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.41 — a 0.38 K/9 discrepancy.

Joey Estes Strikeouts Prop Projection

Joey Estes is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in todays game.